There's No Escaping Shanghai Newtouch Software Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688590) Muted Revenues Despite A 27% Share Price Rise
Those holding Shanghai Newtouch Software Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688590) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 27% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 41%.
Even after such a large jump in price, Shanghai Newtouch Software's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.6x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the IT industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 3.7x and even P/S above 7x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
See our latest analysis for Shanghai Newtouch Software
What Does Shanghai Newtouch Software's Recent Performance Look Like?
The revenue growth achieved at Shanghai Newtouch Software over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on Shanghai Newtouch Software will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shanghai Newtouch Software's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
Shanghai Newtouch Software's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 28% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 57% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 41% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this information, we can see why Shanghai Newtouch Software is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Final Word
Shanghai Newtouch Software's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of Shanghai Newtouch Software revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 3 warning signs for Shanghai Newtouch Software (2 are concerning!) that we have uncovered.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:688590
Shanghai Newtouch Software
Operates as a software and information technology services company in China.
Moderate with imperfect balance sheet.