Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Shenzhen Fortune Trend technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688318) With Shares Advancing 30%

SHSE:688318
Source: Shutterstock

Those holding Shenzhen Fortune Trend technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688318) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 30% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 36%.

Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 29x, you may consider Shenzhen Fortune Trend technology as a stock to avoid entirely with its 50.5x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Shenzhen Fortune Trend technology has been doing quite well of late. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Shenzhen Fortune Trend technology

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688318 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 6th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Shenzhen Fortune Trend technology's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

How Is Shenzhen Fortune Trend technology's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Shenzhen Fortune Trend technology would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 99% gain to the company's bottom line. EPS has also lifted 17% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 24% during the coming year according to the only analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 41%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we find it concerning that Shenzhen Fortune Trend technology is trading at a P/E higher than the market. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Shenzhen Fortune Trend technology's P/E

Shares in Shenzhen Fortune Trend technology have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Shenzhen Fortune Trend technology currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Shenzhen Fortune Trend technology with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Shenzhen Fortune Trend technology, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Shenzhen Fortune Trend technology is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.