Stock Analysis

Optimistic Investors Push Zwsoft Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688083) Shares Up 25% But Growth Is Lacking

SHSE:688083
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Zwsoft Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:688083) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 25% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 36% in the last twelve months.

Since its price has surged higher, ZwsoftLtd may be sending strong sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 11x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Software industry in China have P/S ratios under 4.7x and even P/S lower than 2x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for ZwsoftLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688083 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 26th 2024

What Does ZwsoftLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been advantageous for ZwsoftLtd as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think ZwsoftLtd's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For ZwsoftLtd?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like ZwsoftLtd's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 26% gain to the company's top line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 65% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 22% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be similar to the 21% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's curious that ZwsoftLtd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Final Word

ZwsoftLtd's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Seeing as its revenues are forecast to grow in line with the wider industry, it would appear that ZwsoftLtd currently trades on a higher than expected P/S. When we see revenue growth that just matches the industry, we don't expect elevates P/S figures to remain inflated for the long-term. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for ZwsoftLtd that we have uncovered.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if ZwsoftLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.