Stock Analysis

Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On Linewell Software Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603636) Even After 28% Share Price Boost

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SHSE:603636

Linewell Software Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603636) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 28% share price jump in the last month. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 16% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Linewell Software may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.1x, since almost half of all companies in the Software industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 5.2x and even P/S higher than 9x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Linewell Software

SHSE:603636 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 1st 2024

What Does Linewell Software's Recent Performance Look Like?

Linewell Software hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Linewell Software will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Linewell Software would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 22% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 16% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 45% as estimated by the lone analyst watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 26%, which is noticeably less attractive.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Linewell Software's P/S sits behind most of its industry peers. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Bottom Line On Linewell Software's P/S

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Linewell Software's P/S close to the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

To us, it seems Linewell Software currently trades on a significantly depressed P/S given its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the rest of its industry. There could be some major risk factors that are placing downward pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future revenues could see a lot of volatility.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Linewell Software that you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.