Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Servyou Software Group Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603171) Shares
When close to half the companies in the Software industry in China have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 7.8x, you may consider Servyou Software Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603171) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 10.2x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
Check out our latest analysis for Servyou Software Group
What Does Servyou Software Group's Recent Performance Look Like?
Servyou Software Group certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Servyou Software Group.How Is Servyou Software Group's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Servyou Software Group would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 5.7% last year. Revenue has also lifted 23% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 22% over the next year. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 26% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we find it concerning that Servyou Software Group is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Servyou Software Group's P/S?
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
It comes as a surprise to see Servyou Software Group trade at such a high P/S given the revenue forecasts look less than stellar. When we see a weak revenue outlook, we suspect the share price faces a much greater risk of declining, bringing back down the P/S figures. At these price levels, investors should remain cautious, particularly if things don't improve.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Servyou Software Group that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Servyou Software Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603171
Servyou Software Group
Provides financial and tax information services in China.
High growth potential with excellent balance sheet.