Stock Analysis

Investors in Shanghai Baosight SoftwareLtd (SHSE:600845) have seen impressive returns of 116% over the past five years

SHSE:600845
Source: Shutterstock

It hasn't been the best quarter for Shanghai Baosight Software Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600845) shareholders, since the share price has fallen 13% in that time. Looking further back, the stock has generated good profits over five years. Its return of 100% has certainly bested the market return! While the long term returns are impressive, we do have some sympathy for those who bought more recently, given the 22% drop, in the last year.

So let's investigate and see if the longer term performance of the company has been in line with the underlying business' progress.

See our latest analysis for Shanghai Baosight SoftwareLtd

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

Over half a decade, Shanghai Baosight SoftwareLtd managed to grow its earnings per share at 36% a year. The EPS growth is more impressive than the yearly share price gain of 15% over the same period. So it seems the market isn't so enthusiastic about the stock these days.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:600845 Earnings Per Share Growth September 20th 2024

We know that Shanghai Baosight SoftwareLtd has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? You could check out this free report showing analyst revenue forecasts.

What About Dividends?

It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Shanghai Baosight SoftwareLtd, it has a TSR of 116% for the last 5 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

Shanghai Baosight SoftwareLtd shareholders are down 20% over twelve months (even including dividends), which isn't far from the market return of -19%. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 17%, each year, over five years. If the fundamental data remains strong, and the share price is simply down on sentiment, then this could be an opportunity worth investigating. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Shanghai Baosight SoftwareLtd that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.