Vanchip (Tianjin) Technology Co., Ltd.

XSSC:688153 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥16.9b

Vanchip (Tianjin) Technology Valuation

Is 688153 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 688153 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 688153 (CN¥39.34) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥26.54)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 688153 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 688153?

Key metric: As 688153 is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 688153. This is calculated by dividing 688153's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 688153's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio5.9x
SalesCN¥2.86b
Market CapCN¥16.92b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 688153's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 688153 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.3x
301536 SigmaStar Technology
7.7xn/aCN¥18.1b
300458 Allwinner TechnologyLtd
7.9x21.5%CN¥17.7b
600877 CETC Chips Technology
11.3xn/aCN¥15.9b
600363 Jiangxi Lian Chuang Optoelectronic Science And TechnologylTd
6.2x12.4%CN¥20.1b
688153 Vanchip (Tianjin) Technology
5.9x29.7%CN¥16.9b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 688153 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.9x) compared to the peer average (8.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 688153's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Semiconductor Industry?

12 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
688223 Jinko Solar
0.8x11.4%US$12.08b
002459 JA Solar Technology
0.7x15.0%US$7.77b
688599 Trina Solar
0.5x12.5%US$7.25b
002506 GCL System Integration Technology
0.9x33.5%US$2.22b
688153 5.9xIndustry Avg. 6.9xNo. of Companies24PS048121620+
12 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 688153 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.9x) compared to the CN Semiconductor industry average (6.9x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 688153's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

688153 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio5.9x
Fair PS Ratio5.9x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 688153 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (5.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 688153 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥39.34
CN¥55.07
+40.0%
22.1%CN¥72.00CN¥44.10n/a3
Nov ’25CN¥32.80
CN¥56.87
+73.4%
20.2%CN¥72.00CN¥44.10n/a3
Oct ’25CN¥36.32
CN¥56.87
+56.6%
20.2%CN¥72.00CN¥44.10n/a3
Sep ’25CN¥32.00
CN¥56.87
+77.7%
20.2%CN¥72.00CN¥44.10n/a3
Aug ’25CN¥34.61
CN¥65.73
+89.9%
12.1%CN¥72.00CN¥54.50n/a3
Jul ’25CN¥36.63
CN¥65.73
+79.5%
12.1%CN¥72.00CN¥54.50n/a3
Jun ’25CN¥45.32
CN¥76.50
+68.8%
9.5%CN¥86.80CN¥70.70n/a3
May ’25CN¥54.27
CN¥75.50
+39.1%
10.6%CN¥86.80CN¥69.00n/a3
Apr ’25CN¥55.40
CN¥80.23
+44.8%
9.9%CN¥86.80CN¥69.00n/a3
Mar ’25CN¥59.48
CN¥80.23
+34.9%
9.9%CN¥86.80CN¥69.00n/a3
Feb ’25CN¥48.91
CN¥80.23
+64.0%
9.9%CN¥86.80CN¥69.00n/a3
Jan ’25CN¥65.50
CN¥77.90
+18.9%
11.4%CN¥86.80CN¥69.00n/a2
Dec ’24CN¥65.40
CN¥73.15
+11.9%
5.7%CN¥77.30CN¥69.00n/a2
Nov ’24CN¥70.04
CN¥73.15
+4.4%
5.7%CN¥77.30CN¥69.00CN¥32.802
Oct ’24CN¥57.09
CN¥73.15
+28.1%
5.7%CN¥77.30CN¥69.00CN¥36.322
Sep ’24CN¥71.10
CN¥73.15
+2.9%
5.7%CN¥77.30CN¥69.00CN¥32.002
Aug ’24CN¥62.41
CN¥73.15
+17.2%
5.7%CN¥77.30CN¥69.00CN¥34.612
Jul ’24CN¥73.16
CN¥68.95
-5.8%
0.07%CN¥69.00CN¥68.90CN¥36.632
Jun ’24CN¥68.05
CN¥68.95
+1.3%
0.07%CN¥69.00CN¥68.90CN¥45.322
Nov ’23n/a
CN¥59.77
0%
28.1%CN¥76.54CN¥43.00CN¥70.042

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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