Stock Analysis

Does Jiangsu JieJie Microelectronics (SZSE:300623) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SZSE:300623
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Jiangsu JieJie Microelectronics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300623) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Jiangsu JieJie Microelectronics

How Much Debt Does Jiangsu JieJie Microelectronics Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Jiangsu JieJie Microelectronics had CN¥2.12b of debt in March 2024, down from CN¥2.64b, one year before. On the flip side, it has CN¥797.1m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥1.32b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:300623 Debt to Equity History July 13th 2024

How Strong Is Jiangsu JieJie Microelectronics' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Jiangsu JieJie Microelectronics had liabilities of CN¥1.33b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.88b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥797.1m in cash and CN¥775.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥1.64b.

Since publicly traded Jiangsu JieJie Microelectronics shares are worth a total of CN¥13.3b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Jiangsu JieJie Microelectronics's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 2.0 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its strong interest cover of 12.5 times, makes us even more comfortable. Unfortunately, Jiangsu JieJie Microelectronics saw its EBIT slide 2.3% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then its debt load will grow heavy like the heart of a polar bear watching its sole cub. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Jiangsu JieJie Microelectronics's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Jiangsu JieJie Microelectronics saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Jiangsu JieJie Microelectronics's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and EBIT growth rate definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But its interest cover tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. We think that Jiangsu JieJie Microelectronics's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Jiangsu JieJie Microelectronics you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.