Rainbow Digital Commercial Co., Ltd.

XSEC:002419 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥6.4b

Rainbow Digital Commercial Valuation

Is 002419 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 002419 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 002419 (CN¥5.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥8.59)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 002419 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 002419?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

002419 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.2x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA58.2x
PEG Ratio3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 002419's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 002419 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average46.4x
000501 Wushang Group
32.1x6.1%CN¥6.9b
600694 Dashang
10.6x6.5%CN¥6.2b
600814 Hangzhou Jiebai Group
21.5xn/aCN¥5.3b
301558 SFC Holdings
121.5xn/aCN¥7.2b
002419 Rainbow Digital Commercial
53.4x17.8%CN¥6.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 002419 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (53.4x) compared to the peer average (46.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 002419's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Multiline Retail Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a18.6%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a18.6%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 002419 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (53.4x) compared to the CN Multiline Retail industry average (37.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 002419's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

002419 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio53.4x
Fair PE Ratio23.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 002419 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (53.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 002419 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥5.50
CN¥6.45
+17.3%
16.3%CN¥7.50CN¥5.40n/a2
Oct ’25CN¥4.98
CN¥6.45
+29.5%
16.3%CN¥7.50CN¥5.40n/a2
Sep ’25CN¥4.15
CN¥6.45
+55.4%
16.3%CN¥7.50CN¥5.40n/a2
Aug ’25CN¥4.31
CN¥6.45
+49.7%
16.3%CN¥7.50CN¥5.40n/a2
Jul ’25CN¥4.21
CN¥6.23
+48.1%
14.6%CN¥7.50CN¥5.40n/a3
Jun ’25CN¥4.73
CN¥6.23
+31.8%
14.6%CN¥7.50CN¥5.40n/a3
May ’25CN¥4.90
CN¥6.65
+35.7%
12.8%CN¥7.50CN¥5.80n/a2
Apr ’25CN¥5.48
CN¥6.69
+22.1%
13.3%CN¥7.58CN¥5.80n/a2
Mar ’25CN¥4.70
CN¥6.79
+44.5%
10.9%CN¥7.58CN¥5.80n/a3
Feb ’25CN¥4.80
CN¥7.13
+48.5%
4.6%CN¥7.58CN¥6.80n/a3
Jan ’25CN¥5.53
CN¥7.13
+28.9%
4.6%CN¥7.58CN¥6.80n/a3
Dec ’24CN¥5.57
CN¥7.13
+27.9%
4.6%CN¥7.58CN¥6.80n/a3
Nov ’24CN¥5.45
CN¥7.19
+32.0%
3.8%CN¥7.58CN¥7.00CN¥5.063
Oct ’24CN¥5.68
CN¥7.19
+26.6%
3.8%CN¥7.58CN¥7.00CN¥4.983
Sep ’24CN¥5.82
CN¥7.19
+23.6%
3.8%CN¥7.58CN¥7.00CN¥4.153
Aug ’24CN¥6.61
CN¥7.37
+11.5%
5.0%CN¥7.74CN¥7.00CN¥4.312
Jul ’24CN¥5.85
CN¥7.37
+26.0%
5.0%CN¥7.74CN¥7.00CN¥4.212
Jun ’24CN¥6.09
CN¥7.62
+25.1%
1.6%CN¥7.74CN¥7.50CN¥4.732
May ’24CN¥6.22
CN¥7.62
+22.5%
1.6%CN¥7.74CN¥7.50CN¥4.902
Apr ’24CN¥6.25
CN¥7.62
+21.9%
1.6%CN¥7.74CN¥7.50CN¥5.482

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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