China Merchants Property Operation & Service Co., Ltd.

SZSE:001914 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥11.3b

China Merchants Property Operation & Service Valuation

Is 1914 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 1914 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 001914 (CN¥10.74) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥19.68)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 001914 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 1914?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

1914 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.7x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10x
PEG Ratio1.1x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 1914's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 1914 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average48.7x
000058 Shenzhen SEGLtd
95.7xn/aCN¥6.6b
300917 Shenzhen SDG ServiceLtd
39xn/aCN¥4.6b
600007 China World Trade Center
18.6x1.2%CN¥23.5b
002344 Haining China Leather MarketLtd
41.7x21.2%CN¥4.7b
001914 China Merchants Property Operation & Service
15.9x15.1%CN¥11.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 001914 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x) compared to the peer average (48.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 1914's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Real Estate Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a31.2%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a31.2%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 001914 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x) compared to the CN Real Estate industry average (28.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 1914's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

1914 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.9x
Fair PE Ratio16.8x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 001914 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 1914 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥10.74
CN¥12.87
+19.8%
13.6%CN¥15.12CN¥10.80n/a6
Apr ’25CN¥10.33
CN¥13.58
+31.5%
11.0%CN¥15.12CN¥11.00n/a5
Mar ’25CN¥11.42
CN¥15.27
+33.7%
15.1%CN¥18.00CN¥11.00n/a6
Feb ’25CN¥10.33
CN¥15.27
+47.8%
15.1%CN¥18.00CN¥11.00n/a6
Jan ’25CN¥11.96
CN¥17.50
+46.3%
6.0%CN¥19.00CN¥16.00n/a6
Dec ’24CN¥13.29
CN¥17.50
+31.7%
6.0%CN¥19.00CN¥16.00n/a6
Nov ’24CN¥13.48
CN¥17.50
+29.8%
6.0%CN¥19.00CN¥16.00n/a6
Oct ’24CN¥14.43
CN¥18.28
+26.7%
7.8%CN¥20.00CN¥16.00n/a6
Sep ’24CN¥15.37
CN¥18.28
+18.9%
7.8%CN¥20.00CN¥16.00n/a6
Aug ’24CN¥16.18
CN¥18.96
+17.2%
10.3%CN¥21.00CN¥16.00n/a6
Jul ’24CN¥15.05
CN¥18.96
+26.0%
10.3%CN¥21.00CN¥16.00n/a6
Jun ’24CN¥14.62
CN¥18.96
+29.7%
10.3%CN¥21.00CN¥16.00n/a6
May ’24CN¥15.53
CN¥18.96
+22.1%
10.3%CN¥21.00CN¥16.00CN¥10.686
Apr ’24CN¥15.28
CN¥18.80
+23.0%
9.6%CN¥21.00CN¥16.00CN¥10.336
Mar ’24CN¥16.41
CN¥19.45
+18.5%
6.3%CN¥21.00CN¥16.80CN¥11.427
Feb ’24CN¥16.54
CN¥19.88
+20.2%
8.8%CN¥23.00CN¥16.80CN¥10.337
Jan ’24CN¥15.38
CN¥20.76
+35.0%
7.3%CN¥23.00CN¥19.00CN¥11.967
Dec ’23CN¥15.90
CN¥20.62
+29.7%
8.1%CN¥23.00CN¥18.60CN¥13.298
Nov ’23CN¥13.62
CN¥19.65
+44.3%
16.1%CN¥23.00CN¥11.90CN¥13.489
Oct ’23CN¥15.26
CN¥20.19
+32.3%
16.0%CN¥23.30CN¥11.90CN¥14.439
Sep ’23CN¥17.55
CN¥20.19
+15.0%
16.0%CN¥23.30CN¥11.90CN¥15.379
Aug ’23CN¥16.21
CN¥19.44
+19.9%
16.2%CN¥23.00CN¥11.90CN¥16.189
Jul ’23CN¥17.99
CN¥19.42
+8.0%
16.2%CN¥23.00CN¥11.90CN¥15.059
Jun ’23CN¥16.69
CN¥19.42
+16.4%
16.2%CN¥23.00CN¥11.90CN¥14.629
May ’23CN¥18.20
CN¥19.02
+4.5%
16.5%CN¥22.70CN¥11.90CN¥15.538

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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