Hainan Expressway Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 000886 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

000886 (CN¥6.08) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (CN¥0.24)

Is 000886 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 000886 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow

Simply Wall St

CN¥0.24

Fair Value

2.4k% overvalued

Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 000886 (CN¥6.08) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥0.24)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 000886 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 000886?

Key metric: As 000886 is barely profitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 000886. This is calculated by dividing 000886's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 000886's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio	22.1x
Sales	CN¥271.58m
Market Cap	CN¥6.01b

000886 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	21.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	-66.5x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 000886's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 000886 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	1.2x
000517 Rongan PropertyLtd	0.2x	n/a	CN¥5.9b
002146 RiseSun Real Estate DevelopmentLtd	0.2x	n/a	CN¥6.1b
600604 Shanghai Shibei Hi-TechLtd	3.1x	n/a	CN¥6.8b
000931 Beijing Centergate Technologies (holding)	1.5x	n/a	CN¥3.9b
000886 Hainan Expressway	22.1x	n/a	CN¥6.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 000886 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (22.1x) compared to the peer average (1.2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 000886's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Real Estate Industry?

31 Companies	Price / Sales	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
600048 Poly Developments and Holdings Group	0.3x	-4.32%	US$13.41b
001979 China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings	0.4x	-1.94%	US$10.91b
000002 China Vanke	0.2x	-16.48%	US$10.35b
002244 Hangzhou Binjiang Real Estate GroupLtd	0.4x	-7.07%	US$4.05b

31 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 000886 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (22.1x) compared to the CN Real Estate industry average (2.3x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 000886's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

000886 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	22.1x
Fair PS Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 000886's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/05/30 18:17
End of Day Share Price	2025/05/30 00:00
Earnings	2025/03/31
Annual Earnings	2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Hainan Expressway Co., Ltd. is covered by 3 analysts. 0 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Tao Chang	China Merchants Securities Co. Ltd.
Qiang ZHAO	Everbright Securities Co. Ltd.
Hai Chu	Ping An Securities Co. Ltd.