Stock Analysis

Further weakness as Greenland Holdings (SHSE:600606) drops 10% this week, taking five-year losses to 58%

SHSE:600606
Source: Shutterstock

It is doubtless a positive to see that the Greenland Holdings Corporation Limited (SHSE:600606) share price has gained some 64% in the last three months. But don't envy holders -- looking back over 5 years the returns have been really bad. Indeed, the share price is down 62% in the period. So is the recent increase sufficient to restore confidence in the stock? Not yet. However, in the best case scenario (far from fait accompli), this improved performance might be sustained.

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Greenland Holdings isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

View our latest analysis for Greenland Holdings

Greenland Holdings isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually desire strong revenue growth. That's because it's hard to be confident a company will be sustainable if revenue growth is negligible, and it never makes a profit.

In the last five years Greenland Holdings saw its revenue shrink by 6.6% per year. That's not what investors generally want to see. The share price decline of 10% compound, over five years, is understandable given the company is losing money, and revenue is moving in the wrong direction. We don't think anyone is rushing to buy this stock. Not that many investors like to invest in companies that are losing money and not growing revenue.

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SHSE:600606 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 25th 2024

If you are thinking of buying or selling Greenland Holdings stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We'd be remiss not to mention the difference between Greenland Holdings' total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Its history of dividend payouts mean that Greenland Holdings' TSR, which was a 58% drop over the last 5 years, was not as bad as the share price return.

A Different Perspective

Greenland Holdings shareholders are down 14% for the year, but the market itself is up 4.9%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. However, the loss over the last year isn't as bad as the 10% per annum loss investors have suffered over the last half decade. We'd need to see some sustained improvements in the key metrics before we could muster much enthusiasm. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Greenland Holdings better, we need to consider many other factors. Take risks, for example - Greenland Holdings has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.

If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: many of them are unnoticed AND have attractive valuation).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.