Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co., Ltd.

SHSE:600048 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥98.7b

Poly Developments and Holdings Group Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Poly Developments and Holdings Group's revenue is forecast to decline at 5.3% per annum while its annual earnings are expected to grow at 9.8% per year. EPS is expected to grow by 11.1% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 4.9% in 3 years.

Key information

9.8%

Earnings growth rate

11.1%

EPS growth rate

Real Estate earnings growth29.1%
Revenue growth rate-5.3%
Future return on equity4.9%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated23 Jan 2025

Recent future growth updates

Results: Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co., Ltd. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Aug 23
Results: Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co., Ltd. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Recent updates

Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600048) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks

Jan 07
Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600048) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks

Is Poly Developments and Holdings Group (SHSE:600048) Using Too Much Debt?

Dec 11
Is Poly Developments and Holdings Group (SHSE:600048) Using Too Much Debt?

Is There An Opportunity With Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600048) 39% Undervaluation?

Oct 23
Is There An Opportunity With Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600048) 39% Undervaluation?

Not Many Are Piling Into Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600048) Just Yet

Sep 27
Not Many Are Piling Into Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600048) Just Yet

Results: Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co., Ltd. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Aug 23
Results: Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co., Ltd. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates

Is Poly Developments and Holdings Group (SHSE:600048) A Risky Investment?

Jun 17
Is Poly Developments and Holdings Group (SHSE:600048) A Risky Investment?

Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600048) Shares Bounce 37% But Its Business Still Trails The Market

May 20
Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600048) Shares Bounce 37% But Its Business Still Trails The Market

Here's Why Poly Developments and Holdings Group (SHSE:600048) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

Feb 28
Here's Why Poly Developments and Holdings Group (SHSE:600048) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SHSE:600048 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026304,56810,45943,36023,92617
12/31/2025270,9725,550181,29223,9247
12/31/2024331,76610,84919,97316,35218
9/30/2024337,1096,587-12,104-8,876N/A
6/30/2024349,1127,265-10,528-10,364N/A
3/31/2024356,64611,570-6,308-5,213N/A
12/31/2023346,87212,06713,75113,930N/A
9/30/2023317,19618,49444,40344,103N/A
6/30/2023307,33219,69336,85737,028N/A
3/31/2023287,49318,51032,96533,147N/A
12/31/2022281,06318,3207,2367,422N/A
9/30/2022302,94226,922-1,270-554N/A
6/30/2022305,75627,93812,64412,901N/A
3/31/2022293,42827,417449714N/A
12/31/2021284,95227,38810,28010,551N/A
9/30/2021264,13329,33114,15814,562N/A
6/30/2021259,41329,12515,19315,590N/A
3/31/2021244,40729,07114,81715,207N/A
12/31/2020243,16328,95014,75815,156N/A
9/30/2020241,58928,32911,53011,776N/A
6/30/2020238,50528,127-2,591-2,316N/A
3/31/2020237,19128,0187,9788,258N/A
12/31/2019235,94427,95938,87639,155N/A
9/30/2019211,38822,16631,52231,875N/A
6/30/2019206,12222,36437,40937,734N/A
3/31/2019196,96219,33038,17338,808N/A
12/31/2018194,51818,90411,28911,893N/A
9/30/2018166,01816,935-9,750-9,177N/A
6/30/2018151,69216,478N/A-29,267N/A
3/31/2018148,86015,636N/A-41,629N/A
1/1/2018146,62915,634N/A-29,261N/A
9/30/2017143,15113,581N/A-37,439N/A
6/30/2017154,06413,112N/A4,419N/A
3/31/2017153,78212,950N/A17,820N/A
12/31/2016154,75212,422N/A34,054N/A
9/30/2016147,17012,988N/A38,740N/A
6/30/2016136,23012,358N/A27,964N/A
3/31/2016128,99612,418N/A26,652N/A
12/31/2015123,42912,348N/A17,785N/A
9/30/2015120,24212,591N/A27,350N/A
6/30/2015117,40213,328N/A13,671N/A
3/31/2015113,12912,678N/A-3,383N/A
12/31/2014109,05612,200N/A-10,458N/A
9/30/2014100,30212,215N/A-19,853N/A
6/30/201495,81111,163N/A-19,954N/A
3/31/201494,15110,827N/A-19,022N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 600048's forecast earnings growth (9.8% per year) is above the savings rate (2.8%).

Earnings vs Market: 600048's earnings (9.8% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the CN market (25% per year).

High Growth Earnings: 600048's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: 600048's revenue is expected to decline over the next 3 years (-5.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 600048's revenue is forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-5.3% per year).


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 600048's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (4.9%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/29 00:01
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/27 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Poly Developments and Holdings Group Co., Ltd. is covered by 42 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Shaoshen ZhangAvic Securities Co., Ltd
Tian ShixinBOCI Research Ltd.
Eric DuBofA Global Research