Stock Analysis

We Think PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing) (SZSE:300725) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

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SZSE:300725

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing), Inc. (SZSE:300725) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing)

How Much Debt Does PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing) Carry?

As you can see below, PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing) had CN¥1.58b of debt at March 2024, down from CN¥1.75b a year prior. On the flip side, it has CN¥660.6m in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥917.2m.

SZSE:300725 Debt to Equity History July 31st 2024

How Strong Is PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing)'s Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing) had liabilities of CN¥868.8m due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.22b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥660.6m and CN¥457.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥969.3m.

Given PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing) has a market capitalization of CN¥5.90b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing) has net debt worth 2.4 times EBITDA, which isn't too much, but its interest cover looks a bit on the low side, with EBIT at only 5.5 times the interest expense. While these numbers do not alarm us, it's worth noting that the cost of the company's debt is having a real impact. PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing) grew its EBIT by 2.5% in the last year. Whilst that hardly knocks our socks off it is a positive when it comes to debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing)'s ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing) burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing)'s conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered cast it in a significantly better light. For example, its level of total liabilities is relatively strong. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing)'s debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for PharmaBlock Sciences (Nanjing) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.