Stock Analysis

BGI Genomics' (SZSE:300676 three-year decrease in earnings delivers investors with a 68% loss

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SZSE:300676

The truth is that if you invest for long enough, you're going to end up with some losing stocks. But long term BGI Genomics Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300676) shareholders have had a particularly rough ride in the last three year. Unfortunately, they have held through a 69% decline in the share price in that time. And more recent buyers are having a tough time too, with a drop of 38% in the last year. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 18% in the last three months.

Since BGI Genomics has shed CN„553m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.

View our latest analysis for BGI Genomics

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

BGI Genomics saw its EPS decline at a compound rate of 70% per year, over the last three years. In comparison the 32% compound annual share price decline isn't as bad as the EPS drop-off. So the market may not be too worried about the EPS figure, at the moment -- or it may have previously priced some of the drop in. This positive sentiment is also reflected in the generous P/E ratio of 220.04.

The graphic below depicts how EPS has changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

SZSE:300676 Earnings Per Share Growth June 19th 2024

This free interactive report on BGI Genomics' earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that BGI Genomics shareholders are down 38% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 14%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 6% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - BGI Genomics has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.

But note: BGI Genomics may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if BGI Genomics might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.