Stock Analysis
Jiangxi Fushine Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300497) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 26% Price Plummet
Jiangxi Fushine Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300497) shares have retraced a considerable 26% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. To make matters worse, the recent drop has wiped out a year's worth of gains with the share price now back where it started a year ago.
Even after such a large drop in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Jiangxi Fushine Pharmaceutical's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.6x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Pharmaceuticals industry is similar at about 3.7x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Jiangxi Fushine Pharmaceutical
How Has Jiangxi Fushine Pharmaceutical Performed Recently?
For example, consider that Jiangxi Fushine Pharmaceutical's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Jiangxi Fushine Pharmaceutical, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Jiangxi Fushine Pharmaceutical's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Jiangxi Fushine Pharmaceutical's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 24%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 10% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 201% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Jiangxi Fushine Pharmaceutical's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Jiangxi Fushine Pharmaceutical's P/S?
Following Jiangxi Fushine Pharmaceutical's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our look at Jiangxi Fushine Pharmaceutical revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Jiangxi Fushine Pharmaceutical you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300497
Jiangxi Fushine Pharmaceutical
Engages in the research, development, manufacture, and sale of APIs and pharmaceutical intermediates in China and internationally.