Stock Analysis
There's No Escaping Medicalsystem Biotechnology Co., Ltd's (SZSE:300439) Muted Earnings Despite A 39% Share Price Rise
The Medicalsystem Biotechnology Co., Ltd (SZSE:300439) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 39%. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 7.3% isn't as attractive.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, given about half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 34x, you may still consider Medicalsystem Biotechnology as an attractive investment with its 18.7x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Medicalsystem Biotechnology has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing earnings at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this respectable earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Medicalsystem Biotechnology
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Medicalsystem Biotechnology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Medicalsystem Biotechnology's Growth Trending?
Medicalsystem Biotechnology's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 14%. The latest three year period has also seen a 16% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 37% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's understandable that Medicalsystem Biotechnology's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Final Word
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Medicalsystem Biotechnology's P/E close to the market median. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Medicalsystem Biotechnology revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Medicalsystem Biotechnology that you should be aware of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300439
Medicalsystem Biotechnology
Provides clinical diagnostics reagents and instruments in China.