Stock Analysis
The past three-year earnings decline for Yantai Dongcheng Pharmaceutical GroupLtd (SZSE:002675) likely explains shareholders long-term losses
No-one enjoys it when they lose money on a stock. But no-one can make money on every call, especially in a declining market. While the Yantai Dongcheng Pharmaceutical Group Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002675) share price is down 13% in the last three years, the total return to shareholders (which includes dividends) was -9.4%. That's better than the market which declined 13% over the last three years.
While the last three years has been tough for Yantai Dongcheng Pharmaceutical GroupLtd shareholders, this past week has shown signs of promise. So let's look at the longer term fundamentals and see if they've been the driver of the negative returns.
View our latest analysis for Yantai Dongcheng Pharmaceutical GroupLtd
While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
During the three years that the share price fell, Yantai Dongcheng Pharmaceutical GroupLtd's earnings per share (EPS) dropped by 36% each year. This fall in the EPS is worse than the 4% compound annual share price fall. So the market may not be too worried about the EPS figure, at the moment -- or it may have previously priced some of the drop in. With a P/E ratio of 119.25, it's fair to say the market sees a brighter future for the business.
The image below shows how EPS has tracked over time (if you click on the image you can see greater detail).
This free interactive report on Yantai Dongcheng Pharmaceutical GroupLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow is a great place to start, if you want to investigate the stock further.
What About Dividends?
When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Yantai Dongcheng Pharmaceutical GroupLtd, it has a TSR of -9.4% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
A Different Perspective
Investors in Yantai Dongcheng Pharmaceutical GroupLtd had a tough year, with a total loss of 11% (including dividends), against a market gain of about 21%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 1.0% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Yantai Dongcheng Pharmaceutical GroupLtd (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about.
We will like Yantai Dongcheng Pharmaceutical GroupLtd better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of undervalued stocks (mostly small caps) with considerable, recent, insider buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002675
Yantai Dongcheng Pharmaceutical GroupLtd
Engages in the manufacture and sale of biochemical APIs, finished dosage forms, nuclide drugs, and healthy products for cardiovascular, antitumor, urology, orthopedics, and other therapeutic areas.