Stock Analysis
Berry Genomics Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:000710) Shares Bounce 34% But Its Business Still Trails The Industry
Berry Genomics Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000710) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 34% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 67%.
Although its price has surged higher, Berry GenomicsLtd may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.4x, since almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 6.9x and even P/S higher than 12x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
See our latest analysis for Berry GenomicsLtd
How Has Berry GenomicsLtd Performed Recently?
For instance, Berry GenomicsLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Berry GenomicsLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Berry GenomicsLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 6.1% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 29% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 55% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
With this in mind, we understand why Berry GenomicsLtd's P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.
The Final Word
Berry GenomicsLtd's recent share price jump still sees fails to bring its P/S alongside the industry median. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Berry GenomicsLtd confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Berry GenomicsLtd (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Berry GenomicsLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:000710
Berry GenomicsLtd
A genomics and life science company, develops and commercializes of genetic test technologies in clinical applications in China.