Stock Analysis

Is NanJi E-Commerce Co., LTD's (SZSE:002127) Recent Price Movement Underpinned By Its Weak Fundamentals?

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SZSE:002127

It is hard to get excited after looking at NanJi E-Commerce's (SZSE:002127) recent performance, when its stock has declined 9.0% over the past three months. We, however decided to study the company's financials to determine if they have got anything to do with the price decline. Long-term fundamentals are usually what drive market outcomes, so it's worth paying close attention. In this article, we decided to focus on NanJi E-Commerce's ROE.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

See our latest analysis for NanJi E-Commerce

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for NanJi E-Commerce is:

2.6% = CN¥120m ÷ CN¥4.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.03 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

NanJi E-Commerce's Earnings Growth And 2.6% ROE

It is hard to argue that NanJi E-Commerce's ROE is much good in and of itself. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 4.9%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 45% seen by NanJi E-Commerce over the last five years is not surprising. We reckon that there could also be other factors at play here. For example, the business has allocated capital poorly, or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

So, as a next step, we compared NanJi E-Commerce's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 1.8% over the last few years.

SZSE:002127 Past Earnings Growth May 27th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is NanJi E-Commerce fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is NanJi E-Commerce Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 46% (where it is retaining 54% of its profits), NanJi E-Commerce has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. So there could be some other explanations in that regard. For instance, the company's business may be deteriorating.

Moreover, NanJi E-Commerce has been paying dividends for six years, which is a considerable amount of time, suggesting that management must have perceived that the shareholders prefer consistent dividends even though earnings have been shrinking.

Summary

On the whole, we feel that the performance shown by NanJi E-Commerce can be open to many interpretations. While the company does have a high rate of profit retention, its low rate of return is probably hampering its earnings growth. Wrapping up, we would proceed with caution with this company and one way of doing that would be to look at the risk profile of the business. To know the 2 risks we have identified for NanJi E-Commerce visit our risks dashboard for free.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.