Stock Analysis

China Publishing & Media Holdings (SHSE:601949) Has A Pretty Healthy Balance Sheet

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SHSE:601949

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that China Publishing & Media Holdings Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601949) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for China Publishing & Media Holdings

What Is China Publishing & Media Holdings's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that China Publishing & Media Holdings had debt of CN¥76.4m at the end of March 2024, a reduction from CN¥433.9m over a year. But it also has CN¥5.99b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥5.91b net cash.

SHSE:601949 Debt to Equity History July 13th 2024

How Healthy Is China Publishing & Media Holdings' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that China Publishing & Media Holdings had liabilities of CN¥4.06b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥1.17b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥5.99b and CN¥894.3m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CN¥1.66b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

It's good to see that China Publishing & Media Holdings has plenty of liquidity on its balance sheet, suggesting conservative management of liabilities. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Succinctly put, China Publishing & Media Holdings boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

On the other hand, China Publishing & Media Holdings's EBIT dived 17%, over the last year. If that rate of decline in earnings continues, the company could find itself in a tight spot. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since China Publishing & Media Holdings will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. China Publishing & Media Holdings may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. During the last three years, China Publishing & Media Holdings generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 84% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That positions it well to pay down debt if desirable to do so.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case China Publishing & Media Holdings has CN¥5.91b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. The cherry on top was that in converted 84% of that EBIT to free cash flow, bringing in CN¥562m. So is China Publishing & Media Holdings's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for China Publishing & Media Holdings you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.