Chengdu Guibao Science & Technology Co.,Ltd.

XSEC:300019 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥6.5b

Chengdu Guibao Science & TechnologyLtd Valuation

Is 300019 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 300019 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 300019 (CN¥16.64) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥0.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 300019 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 300019?

Key metric: As 300019 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 300019. This is calculated by dividing 300019's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 300019's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio26.2x
EarningsCN¥250.01m
Market CapCN¥6.54b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 300019's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 300019 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average74.7x
301618 Dongguan Changlian New Materials TechnologyLtd
89.4xn/aCN¥7.1b
603004 Zhejiang Dragon Technology
36xn/aCN¥5.8b
688603 Guangdong Skychem Technology
95.1x39.8%CN¥7.0b
002440 Zhejiang Runtu
78.4x65.3%CN¥7.4b
300019 Chengdu Guibao Science & TechnologyLtd
26.2x30.9%CN¥6.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 300019 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.2x) compared to the peer average (74.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 300019's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
300019 26.2xIndustry Avg. 35.6xNo. of Companies42PE020406080100+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 300019 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.2x) compared to the CN Chemicals industry average (35.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 300019's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

300019 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio26.2x
Fair PE Ratio26.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 300019 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 300019 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥16.64
CN¥18.20
+9.4%
1.1%CN¥18.40CN¥18.00n/a2
Nov ’25CN¥13.94
CN¥18.20
+30.6%
1.1%CN¥18.40CN¥18.00n/a2
Oct ’25CN¥14.18
CN¥18.20
+28.3%
1.1%CN¥18.40CN¥18.00n/a2
Sep ’25CN¥10.93
CN¥18.20
+66.5%
1.1%CN¥18.40CN¥18.00n/a2
Aug ’25CN¥11.79
CN¥18.20
+54.4%
1.1%CN¥18.40CN¥18.00n/a2
Jul ’25CN¥13.44
CN¥18.20
+35.4%
1.1%CN¥18.40CN¥18.00n/a2
Jun ’25CN¥13.62
CN¥18.20
+33.6%
1.1%CN¥18.40CN¥18.00n/a2
May ’25CN¥13.17
CN¥18.20
+38.2%
1.1%CN¥18.40CN¥18.00n/a2
Apr ’25CN¥15.13
CN¥19.70
+30.2%
6.6%CN¥21.00CN¥18.40n/a2
Mar ’25CN¥14.03
CN¥19.70
+40.4%
6.6%CN¥21.00CN¥18.40n/a2
Feb ’25CN¥12.47
CN¥20.94
+67.9%
0.3%CN¥21.00CN¥20.88n/a2
Jan ’25CN¥16.51
CN¥20.94
+26.8%
0.3%CN¥21.00CN¥20.88n/a2
Dec ’24CN¥16.73
CN¥20.94
+25.2%
0.3%CN¥21.00CN¥20.88n/a2
Nov ’24CN¥16.62
CN¥20.94
+26.0%
0.3%CN¥21.00CN¥20.88CN¥13.942
Oct ’24CN¥16.06
CN¥20.94
+30.4%
0.3%CN¥21.00CN¥20.88CN¥14.182
Sep ’24CN¥16.05
CN¥20.94
+30.5%
0.3%CN¥21.00CN¥20.88CN¥10.932
Aug ’24CN¥16.50
CN¥20.94
+26.9%
0.3%CN¥21.00CN¥20.88CN¥11.792
Jul ’24CN¥17.05
CN¥20.94
+22.8%
0.3%CN¥21.00CN¥20.88CN¥13.442
Jun ’24CN¥16.58
CN¥20.94
+26.3%
0.3%CN¥21.00CN¥20.88CN¥13.622
May ’24CN¥17.11
CN¥20.94
+22.4%
0.3%CN¥21.00CN¥20.88CN¥13.172
Mar ’24n/a
CN¥23.42
0%
10.3%CN¥25.83CN¥21.00CN¥14.032

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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