Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology Co., Ltd.

XSEC:002709 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥45.3b

Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology Valuation

Is 002709 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 002709 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 002709 (CN¥23.73) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥15.41)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 002709 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 002709?

Key metric: As 002709 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 002709. This is calculated by dividing 002709's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 002709's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio94.9x
EarningsCN¥477.21m
Market CapCN¥45.30b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 002709's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 002709 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.3x
002064 Huafon ChemicalLtd
16.3x22.2%CN¥41.7b
601216 Inner Mongolia Junzheng Energy & Chemical GroupLtd
13.9xn/aCN¥38.6b
002601 LB Group
12x14.5%CN¥43.4b
600160 Zhejiang Juhua
39x38.3%CN¥56.7b
002709 Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology
94.9x60.3%CN¥45.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 002709 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (94.9x) compared to the peer average (20.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 002709's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
002709 94.9xIndustry Avg. 35.6xNo. of Companies42PE020406080100+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 002709 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (94.9x) compared to the CN Chemicals industry average (35.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 002709's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

002709 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio94.9x
Fair PE Ratio57.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 002709 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (94.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (57.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 002709 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥23.73
CN¥18.18
-23.4%
21.5%CN¥24.00CN¥12.50n/a8
Nov ’25CN¥18.35
CN¥18.18
-0.9%
21.5%CN¥24.00CN¥12.50n/a8
Oct ’25CN¥18.52
CN¥18.21
-1.7%
28.6%CN¥24.96CN¥10.00n/a10
Sep ’25CN¥14.35
CN¥18.46
+28.6%
27.8%CN¥24.96CN¥10.00n/a10
Aug ’25CN¥15.45
CN¥20.79
+34.6%
27.1%CN¥27.00CN¥10.00n/a9
Jul ’25CN¥17.29
CN¥21.21
+22.6%
24.8%CN¥27.00CN¥10.00n/a9
Jun ’25CN¥19.55
CN¥22.25
+13.8%
30.4%CN¥34.50CN¥10.00n/a9
May ’25CN¥21.00
CN¥22.25
+6.0%
30.4%CN¥34.50CN¥10.00n/a9
Apr ’25CN¥23.20
CN¥22.09
-4.8%
29.4%CN¥34.50CN¥10.00n/a9
Mar ’25CN¥20.62
CN¥27.08
+31.3%
37.9%CN¥40.00CN¥10.00n/a9
Feb ’25CN¥18.31
CN¥28.19
+54.0%
31.2%CN¥40.00CN¥20.00n/a9
Jan ’25CN¥25.08
CN¥33.90
+35.2%
27.2%CN¥46.00CN¥20.00n/a9
Dec ’24CN¥23.97
CN¥36.23
+51.2%
34.6%CN¥61.00CN¥20.00n/a9
Nov ’24CN¥27.66
CN¥38.89
+40.6%
36.8%CN¥62.80CN¥20.00CN¥18.3510
Oct ’24CN¥27.03
CN¥39.57
+46.4%
36.1%CN¥62.80CN¥20.00CN¥18.5210
Sep ’24CN¥32.86
CN¥42.61
+29.7%
30.5%CN¥62.80CN¥20.00CN¥14.3511
Aug ’24CN¥36.99
CN¥47.18
+27.5%
27.5%CN¥66.00CN¥28.00CN¥15.4511
Jul ’24CN¥41.19
CN¥50.69
+23.1%
23.4%CN¥66.00CN¥28.00CN¥17.2911
Jun ’24CN¥42.10
CN¥53.09
+26.1%
23.0%CN¥68.00CN¥28.00CN¥19.5512
May ’24CN¥42.68
CN¥51.69
+21.1%
23.0%CN¥66.00CN¥28.00CN¥21.0011
Apr ’24CN¥41.96
CN¥55.97
+33.4%
27.3%CN¥80.00CN¥28.00CN¥23.2010
Mar ’24CN¥44.68
CN¥55.46
+24.1%
28.9%CN¥80.00CN¥28.00CN¥20.629
Feb ’24CN¥49.86
CN¥55.46
+11.2%
28.9%CN¥80.00CN¥28.00CN¥18.319
Jan ’24CN¥43.86
CN¥58.35
+33.0%
32.1%CN¥86.00CN¥28.00CN¥25.089
Dec ’23CN¥47.83
CN¥57.52
+20.3%
32.9%CN¥86.00CN¥28.00CN¥23.979
Nov ’23CN¥44.26
CN¥57.52
+30.0%
32.9%CN¥86.00CN¥28.00CN¥27.669

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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