ValiantLtd (XSEC:002643) Stock Valuation, Peer Comparison & Price Targets

Q: What is the Fair Price of 002643 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

002643 (CN¥10.92) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (CN¥14.41)

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 002643 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 002643 (CN¥10.92) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥14.41)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 002643 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 002643?

Key metric: As 002643 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 002643. This is calculated by dividing 002643's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 002643's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	21x
Earnings	CN¥483.51m
Market Cap	CN¥10.16b

002643 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	2.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	10.8x
PEG Ratio	0.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 002643's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 002643 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	59x
002010 Transfar Zhilian	35.3x	32.2%	CN¥11.5b
300398 PhiChem	87x	38.1%	CN¥9.4b
300741 Huabao Flavours & Fragrances	47x	n/a	CN¥11.1b
300409 Guangdong Dowstone Technology	66.8x	60.5%	CN¥9.8b
002643 ValiantLtd	21x	26.4%	CN¥10.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 002643 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21x) compared to the peer average (59x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 002643's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Chemicals Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies available in this PE range

0 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 002643 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21x) compared to the CN Chemicals industry average (35.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 002643's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

002643 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	21x
Fair PE Ratio	23.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 002643 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 002643 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	CN¥10.92	CN¥12.75 +16.8%	14.3%	CN¥15.00	CN¥10.50	n/a	4
Nov ’25	CN¥10.16	CN¥12.33 +21.4%	15.6%	CN¥15.00	CN¥10.50	n/a	3
Oct ’25	CN¥10.37	CN¥13.75 +32.6%	21.6%	CN¥18.00	CN¥10.50	n/a	4
Sep ’25	CN¥8.50	CN¥13.75 +61.8%	21.6%	CN¥18.00	CN¥10.50	n/a	4
Aug ’25	CN¥9.44	CN¥18.25 +93.3%	13.6%	CN¥22.00	CN¥15.00	n/a	4
Jul ’25	CN¥9.94	CN¥18.25 +83.6%	13.6%	CN¥22.00	CN¥15.00	n/a	4
Jun ’25	CN¥11.61	CN¥18.25 +57.2%	13.6%	CN¥22.00	CN¥15.00	n/a	4
May ’25	CN¥11.51	CN¥18.31 +59.1%	12.2%	CN¥22.00	CN¥15.00	n/a	5
Apr ’25	CN¥13.86	CN¥22.34 +61.2%	15.8%	CN¥28.50	CN¥18.00	n/a	6
Mar ’25	CN¥15.19	CN¥22.34 +47.1%	15.8%	CN¥28.50	CN¥18.00	n/a	6
Feb ’25	CN¥12.94	CN¥22.34 +72.6%	15.8%	CN¥28.50	CN¥18.00	n/a	6
Jan ’25	CN¥16.59	CN¥23.54 +41.9%	12.9%	CN¥28.50	CN¥18.54	n/a	6
Dec ’24	CN¥16.14	CN¥23.54 +45.8%	12.9%	CN¥28.50	CN¥18.54	n/a	6
Nov ’24	CN¥16.97	CN¥23.26 +37.1%	12.7%	CN¥28.50	CN¥18.54	CN¥10.16	6
Oct ’24	CN¥17.26	CN¥23.26 +34.8%	12.7%	CN¥28.50	CN¥18.54	CN¥10.37	6
Sep ’24	CN¥17.50	CN¥23.26 +32.9%	12.7%	CN¥28.50	CN¥18.54	CN¥8.50	6
Aug ’24	CN¥18.09	CN¥22.41 +23.9%	9.7%	CN¥25.00	CN¥18.54	CN¥9.44	5
Jul ’24	CN¥17.41	CN¥22.41 +28.7%	9.7%	CN¥25.00	CN¥18.54	CN¥9.94	5
Jun ’24	CN¥16.15	CN¥22.86 +41.5%	6.2%	CN¥25.00	CN¥20.77	CN¥11.61	5
May ’24	CN¥18.31	CN¥22.86 +24.8%	6.2%	CN¥25.00	CN¥20.77	CN¥11.51	5
Apr ’24	CN¥17.23	CN¥22.69 +31.7%	9.5%	CN¥25.60	CN¥20.47	CN¥13.86	3
Mar ’24	CN¥17.86	CN¥22.69 +27.0%	9.5%	CN¥25.60	CN¥20.47	CN¥15.19	3
Feb ’24	CN¥18.82	CN¥22.69 +20.6%	9.5%	CN¥25.60	CN¥20.47	CN¥12.94	3
Jan ’24	CN¥14.66	CN¥22.69 +54.8%	9.5%	CN¥25.60	CN¥20.47	CN¥16.59	3
Dec ’23	CN¥16.82	CN¥22.69 +34.9%	9.5%	CN¥25.60	CN¥20.47	CN¥16.14	3
Nov ’23	CN¥14.19	CN¥25.08 +76.8%	9.3%	CN¥27.65	CN¥22.00	CN¥16.97	3

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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ValiantLtd Valuation