Tianqi Lithium Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Tianqi Lithium is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 86% and 5.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 108.7% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 6.8% in 3 years.

Key information

86.0%

Earnings growth rate

108.7%

EPS growth rate

Chemicals earnings growth	39.6%
Revenue growth rate	5.6%
Future return on equity	6.8%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	21 Nov 2024

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

XSEC:002466 - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (CNY Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2026	17,671	4,080	4,083	7,602	20
12/31/2025	14,415	2,706	2,920	7,241	21
12/31/2024	12,535	-5,176	-1,214	7,892	13
9/30/2024	17,169	-6,503	1,578	6,845	N/A
6/30/2024	22,099	-4,361	7,658	12,823	N/A
3/31/2024	31,639	-1,475	15,906	20,896	N/A
12/31/2023	40,503	7,297	18,245	22,688	N/A
9/30/2023	49,202	16,242	25,068	28,597	N/A
6/30/2023	50,977	20,249	22,487	25,335	N/A
3/31/2023	46,640	25,672	19,153	21,397	N/A
1/1/2023	40,449	24,125	18,582	20,298	N/A
9/30/2022	28,437	17,530	11,068	12,450	N/A
6/30/2022	19,608	12,321	7,238	8,403	N/A
3/31/2022	12,016	5,655	4,473	5,576	N/A
1/1/2022	7,663	2,079	1,086	2,094	N/A
9/30/2021	4,685	-201	629	1,411	N/A
6/30/2021	3,712	-1,051	548	1,314	N/A
3/31/2021	3,175	-1,581	325	1,039	N/A
12/31/2020	3,239	-1,834	-266	696	N/A
9/30/2020	3,470	-7,226	28	1,636	N/A
6/30/2020	4,130	-6,873	-832	1,548	N/A
3/31/2020	4,472	-6,595	-1,067	1,913	N/A
12/31/2019	4,841	-5,983	-1,380	2,355	N/A
9/30/2019	5,283	651	-1,491	2,222	N/A
6/30/2019	5,545	1,084	-973	2,741	N/A
3/31/2019	5,912	1,651	-543	3,108	N/A
12/31/2018	6,244	2,200	192	3,620	N/A
9/30/2018	6,269	2,316	296	3,705	N/A
6/30/2018	6,345	2,530	N/A	3,747	N/A
3/31/2018	6,075	2,399	N/A	3,402	N/A
12/31/2017	5,470	2,145	N/A	3,095	N/A
9/30/2017	5,094	1,827	N/A	2,693	N/A
6/30/2017	4,614	1,689	N/A	2,036	N/A
3/31/2017	4,214	1,634	N/A	2,024	N/A
12/31/2016	3,905	1,512	N/A	1,776	N/A
9/30/2016	3,330	1,390	N/A	1,416	N/A
6/30/2016	2,817	954	N/A	1,240	N/A
3/31/2016	2,263	502	N/A	955	N/A
12/31/2015	1,867	248	N/A	660	N/A
9/30/2015	1,829	167	N/A	635	N/A
6/30/2015	1,531	154	N/A	510	N/A
3/31/2015	1,503	162	N/A	263	N/A
12/31/2014	1,422	131	N/A	302	N/A
9/30/2014	1,160	-101	N/A	140	N/A
6/30/2014	1,238	-91	N/A	223	N/A
3/31/2014	1,272	-195	N/A	395	N/A
12/31/2013	1,068	-191	N/A	223	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: 002466 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered faster growth than the savings rate (2.8%).

Earnings vs Market: 002466 is forecast to become profitable over the next 3 years, which is considered above average market growth.

High Growth Earnings: 002466 is expected to become profitable in the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: 002466's revenue (5.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the CN market (13.8% per year).

High Growth Revenue: 002466's revenue (5.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: 002466's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (6.8%).

Tianqi Lithium Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Tianqi Lithium Corporation Provides Preliminary Earnings Guidance for the Third Quarter and Nine Months Ended 30 September 2024

Tianqi Lithium Corporation Provides Group Earnings Guidance for the Year Ended 31 December 2023

Tianqi Lithium Corporation Provides Earnings Guidance for the Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2022

Tianqi Lithium Corporation Provides Earnings Guidance for the the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2022

Tianqi Lithium Corporation Provides Earnings Guidance for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2022

Recent updates

Now 20% overvalued after recent price rise

Third quarter 2024 earnings released: CN¥0.30 loss per share (vs CN¥1.00 profit in 3Q 2023)

Tianqi Lithium Corporation Provides Preliminary Earnings Guidance for the Third Quarter and Nine Months Ended 30 September 2024

Tianqi Lithium Corporation Announces Employee Representative Supervisor Changes

Now 22% undervalued

Tianqi Lithium Corporation to Report Q3, 2024 Results on Oct 31, 2024

New minor risk - Share price stability

Second quarter 2024 earnings released: CN¥0.80 loss per share (vs CN¥0.96 profit in 2Q 2023)

Tianqi Lithium Corporation to Report First Half, 2024 Results on Aug 31, 2024

Tianqi Lithium Corporation Approves to Distribute Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2023 on 22 July 2024

Tianqi Lithium Corporation Announces Final Dividend Payment

First quarter 2024 earnings released: CN¥2.38 loss per share (vs CN¥2.97 profit in 1Q 2023)

Tianqi Lithium Corporation Announces Executive Changes

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 15%

Tianqi Lithium Corporation to Report Q1, 2024 Results on Apr 30, 2024

Tianqi Lithium Corporation, Annual General Meeting, May 28, 2024

Full year 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥4.45 (vs CN¥15.52 in FY 2022)

Tianqi Lithium Corporation Proposes Final Dividend for the Year Ended December 31, 2023

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Tianqi Lithium Corporation Provides Group Earnings Guidance for the Year Ended 31 December 2023

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%

Tianqi Lithium Corporation to Report Fiscal Year 2023 Results on Mar 28, 2024

Third quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥1.00 (vs CN¥3.49 in 3Q 2022)

New minor risk - Profit margin trend

Tianqi Lithium Corporation Implements Final Dividend (A Shares) for 2022, Payable on 30 June 2023

Tianqi Lithium Corporation Approves Final Dividend for the Year Ended 31 December 2022, Payable on 16 August 2023

Investor sentiment improves as stock rises 16%

High number of new directors

First quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: CN¥2.97 (vs CN¥2.25 in 1Q 2022)

Investor sentiment deteriorates as stock falls 16%

Now 21% undervalued after recent price drop

Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop

Tianqi Lithium Corporation Provides Earnings Guidance for the Twelve Months Ended December 31, 2022

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Less than half of directors are independent

Third quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥3.49 (vs CN¥0.29 in 3Q 2021)

Tianqi Lithium Corporation to Report Q3, 2022 Results on Oct 27, 2022

Tianqi Lithium Corporation Provides Earnings Guidance for the the Nine Months Ended September 30, 2022

Now 22% undervalued after recent price drop

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Second quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥4.74 (vs CN¥0.24 in 2Q 2021)

Tianqi Lithium Corporation (SZSE:002466) announces an Equity Buyback for CNY 200 million worth of its shares.

Tianqi Lithium Corporation to Report First Half, 2022 Results on Aug 30, 2022

Tianqi Lithium Corporation Provides Earnings Guidance for the Six Months Ended June 30, 2022

Less than half of directors are independent

Tianqi Lithium Corporation has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of HKD 13.45802 billion.

Tianqi Lithium Corporation has completed a Follow-on Equity Offering in the amount of HKD 13.45802 billion.

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Investor sentiment improved over the past week

Tianqi Lithium Corporation, Annual General Meeting, May 23, 2022

First quarter 2022 earnings released: EPS: CN¥2.25 (vs CN¥0.17 loss in 1Q 2021)

Now 27% undervalued after recent price drop

Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.29 (vs CN¥0.28 loss in 3Q 2020)

Second quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS CN¥0.24 (vs CN¥0.13 loss in 2Q 2020)

Full year 2020 earnings released: CN¥1.22 loss per share (vs CN¥5.24 loss in FY 2019)

Tianqi Lithium Corporation Approves Election of Non-Independent Directors

Tianqi Lithium Appoints Xia Juncheng as Chief Executive Officer

New 90-day high: CN¥62.70

New 90-day high: CN¥42.00

New 90-day high: CN¥31.38

Tianqi Lithium Corporation(XSEC:002466) dropped from FTSE All-World Index (USD)

New 90-day high: CN¥27.35

Third-quarter earnings released: Revenue misses expectations

Third quarter earnings released

Tianqi Lithium Corporation to Report Q3, 2020 Results on Oct 20, 2020

New 90-day low - CN¥21.39

First half earnings released