Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Limited

XSEC:000488 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥6.5b

Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Valuation

Is 000488 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 000488 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 000488 (CN¥3.16) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥2.41)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 000488 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 000488?

Key metric: As 000488 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 000488. This is calculated by dividing 000488's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 000488's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.3x
SalesCN¥26.71b
Market CapCN¥6.48b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 000488's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 000488 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.6x
600308 Shandong Huatai Paper Industry ShareholdingLtd
0.4xn/aCN¥5.6b
600966 Shandong Bohui Paper IndustryLtd
0.4x10.1%CN¥7.1b
600433 Guangdong Guanhao High-Tech
0.8x15.0%CN¥5.7b
000815 MCC Meili Cloud Computing Industry Investment
8.7xn/aCN¥9.1b
000488 Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings
0.3x7.6%CN¥6.5b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 000488 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the peer average (2.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 000488's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Forestry Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.1.5x12.2%
000488 Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings
0.3x7.6%US$894.21m
600567 Shanying International HoldingsLtd
0.3x12.3%US$1.38b
600966 Shandong Bohui Paper IndustryLtd
0.4x10.1%US$980.95m
000488 0.3xIndustry Avg. 1.5xNo. of Companies8PS0246810+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.1.5x33.3%
000488 Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings
0.3x106.1%US$894.21m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 000488 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the CN Forestry industry average (1.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 000488's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

000488 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.3x
Fair PS Ratio0.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 000488 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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