Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Limited

XSEC:000488 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥8.0b

Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Valuation

Is 488 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 488 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 000488 (CN¥3.77) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥9.5)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 000488 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 488?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

488 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA19.2x
PEG Ration/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 488's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 488 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average2.2x
000815 MCC Meili Cloud Computing Industry Investment
5.6xn/aCN¥6.2b
600963 Yueyang Forest & Paper
1x16.9%CN¥8.2b
600433 Guangdong Guanhao High-Tech
0.7xn/aCN¥5.2b
002521 Qifeng New Material
1.6xn/aCN¥5.8b
000488 Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings
0.4x2.2%CN¥8.0b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 000488 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the peer average (2.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 488's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Forestry Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a33.3%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPS048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a33.3%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 000488 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the CN Forestry industry average (1.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 488's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

488 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.4x
Fair PS Ratio0.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 000488 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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