Yangzhou Chenhua New Material Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 300610 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

300610 (CN¥10.69) is trading above our estimate of [[fair value]] (CN¥8.58)

Is 300610 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 300610 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 300610 (CN¥10.69) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥8.58)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 300610 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 300610?

Key metric: As 300610 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 300610. This is calculated by dividing 300610's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 300610's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	25.7x
Earnings	CN¥88.11m
Market Cap	CN¥2.27b

300610 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	1.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	16.9x
PEG Ratio	1.9x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 300610's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 300610 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	39.6x
603159 Shanghai Yahong Moulding	68.4x	n/a	CN¥2.0b
301003 Jiangsu Boiln Plastics	17.2x	22.4%	CN¥2.3b
300920 Zhejiang Runyang New Material Technology	46.9x	n/a	CN¥1.9b
603192 Shanghai Huide Science & TechnologyLtd	25.8x	n/a	CN¥2.3b
300610 Yangzhou Chenhua New Material	25.7x	13.8%	CN¥2.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 300610 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x) compared to the peer average (39.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 300610's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Chemicals Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies available in this PE range

0 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 300610 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x) compared to the CN Chemicals industry average (36.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 300610's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

300610 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	25.7x
Fair PE Ratio	17.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 300610 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 300610 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	CN¥10.69	CN¥10.86 +1.5%	1.3%	CN¥11.00	CN¥10.71	n/a	2
Nov ’25	CN¥9.64	CN¥10.86 +12.6%	1.3%	CN¥11.00	CN¥10.71	n/a	2
Oct ’25	CN¥9.73	CN¥9.87 +1.4%	11.4%	CN¥11.00	CN¥8.74	n/a	2
Sep ’25	CN¥8.50	CN¥9.87 +16.1%	11.4%	CN¥11.00	CN¥8.74	n/a	2
Aug ’25	CN¥8.55	CN¥10.29 +20.3%	7.0%	CN¥11.00	CN¥9.57	n/a	2
Jul ’25	CN¥9.06	CN¥10.29 +13.5%	7.0%	CN¥11.00	CN¥9.57	n/a	2
Jun ’25	CN¥9.77	CN¥11.79 +20.6%	18.8%	CN¥14.00	CN¥9.57	n/a	2
May ’25	CN¥9.47	CN¥11.79 +24.4%	18.8%	CN¥14.00	CN¥9.57	n/a	2
Apr ’25	CN¥9.32	CN¥13.36 +43.3%	4.8%	CN¥14.00	CN¥12.71	n/a	2
Mar ’25	CN¥8.25	CN¥13.36 +61.9%	4.8%	CN¥14.00	CN¥12.71	n/a	2
Feb ’25	CN¥8.88	CN¥13.36 +50.4%	4.8%	CN¥14.00	CN¥12.71	n/a	2
Jan ’25	CN¥11.27	CN¥13.36 +18.5%	4.8%	CN¥14.00	CN¥12.71	n/a	2
Dec ’24	CN¥11.31	CN¥13.36 +18.1%	4.8%	CN¥14.00	CN¥12.71	n/a	2
Nov ’24	CN¥11.30	CN¥13.36 +18.2%	4.8%	CN¥14.00	CN¥12.71	CN¥9.64	2
Oct ’24	CN¥11.16	CN¥13.08 +17.2%	7.0%	CN¥14.00	CN¥12.16	CN¥9.73	2
Sep ’24	CN¥11.18	CN¥13.08 +17.0%	7.0%	CN¥14.00	CN¥12.16	CN¥8.50	2
Aug ’24	CN¥11.68	CN¥13.90 +19.0%	0.7%	CN¥14.00	CN¥13.80	CN¥8.55	2
Jul ’24	CN¥11.61	CN¥13.90 +19.7%	0.7%	CN¥14.00	CN¥13.80	CN¥9.06	2
Jun ’24	CN¥11.11	CN¥13.90 +25.1%	0.7%	CN¥14.00	CN¥13.80	CN¥9.77	2

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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