Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai) Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300180) Share Price Boosted 42% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too
Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300180) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 42% after a shaky period beforehand. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 16% is also fairly reasonable.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai) may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.6x, considering almost half of all companies in the Chemicals industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 2.2x and even P/S higher than 5x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
View our latest analysis for Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai)
What Does Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai)'s P/S Mean For Shareholders?
The revenue growth achieved at Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai) over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai) will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai), take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai)?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai)'s is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 18% gain to the company's top line. Revenue has also lifted 28% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 23% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai)'s P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What Does Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai)'s P/S Mean For Investors?
The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai)'s P/S close to the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Our examination of Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai) confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai) has 2 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai)'s business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai) might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300180
Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai)
Develops, manufactures, and sells microfiber materials in China and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet and slightly overvalued.