Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai) Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300180) 28% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/SRatio
The Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai) Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300180) share price has softened a substantial 28% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 54%, which is great even in a bull market.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, given close to half the companies operating in China's Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.3x, you may still consider Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai) as a stock to potentially avoid with its 2.9x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
View our latest analysis for Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai)
What Does Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai)'s Recent Performance Look Like?
The revenue growth achieved at Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai) over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai), take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai)?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai) would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 12% last year. The latest three year period has also seen a 12% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing revenue over that time.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai)'s P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What We Can Learn From Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai)'s P/S?
There's still some elevation in Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai)'s P/S, even if the same can't be said for its share price recently. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Our examination of Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai) revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai), explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300180
Huafon Microfibre (Shanghai)
Develops, manufactures, and sells microfiber materials in China and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet and fair value.