Anhui Xinbo Aluminum Co., Ltd.

SZSE:003038 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥4.0b

Anhui Xinbo Aluminum Valuation

Is 003038 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 003038 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
CN¥4.47
Fair Value
264.5% overvalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 003038 (CN¥16.28) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CN¥4.47)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 003038 is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 003038?

Key metric: As 003038 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 003038. This is calculated by dividing 003038's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 003038's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio17.5x
EarningsCN¥227.00m
Market CapCN¥3.97b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 003038's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 003038 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average85.5x
002996 Chongqing Shunbo AluminumLtd
20.9xn/aCN¥4.3b
002824 Guangdong Hoshion Industrial Aluminium
45.4x20.4%CN¥4.2b
603211 Jintuo Technology
74.4xn/aCN¥4.1b
300986 Jiangxi GETO New Materials
201.4x144.8%CN¥2.8b
003038 Anhui Xinbo Aluminum
17.5x69.0%CN¥4.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 003038 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.5x) compared to the peer average (85.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 003038's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Metals and Mining Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
600117 Xining Special Steel.Co.Ltd
2.9xn/aUS$976.77m
No more companies available in this PE range
003038 17.5xIndustry Avg. 26.0xNo. of Companies30PE020406080100+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 003038 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.5x) compared to the CN Metals and Mining industry average (26.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 003038's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

003038 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.5x
Fair PE Ratio49.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 003038 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 003038 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥16.28
CN¥36.07
+121.6%
10.9%CN¥40.00CN¥32.14n/a2
Jan ’26CN¥16.58
CN¥36.07
+117.6%
10.9%CN¥40.00CN¥32.14n/a2
Dec ’25CN¥19.13
CN¥36.07
+88.6%
10.9%CN¥40.00CN¥32.14n/a2
Nov ’25CN¥15.94
CN¥30.36
+90.4%
5.9%CN¥32.14CN¥28.57n/a2
Oct ’25CN¥15.48
CN¥30.36
+96.1%
5.9%CN¥32.14CN¥28.57n/a2
Sep ’25CN¥13.18
CN¥30.36
+130.3%
5.9%CN¥32.14CN¥28.57n/a2
Aug ’25CN¥13.12
CN¥30.36
+131.4%
5.9%CN¥32.14CN¥28.57n/a2
Jul ’25CN¥14.89
CN¥30.36
+103.9%
5.9%CN¥32.14CN¥28.57n/a2
Jun ’25CN¥17.53
CN¥30.36
+73.2%
5.9%CN¥32.14CN¥28.57n/a2
May ’25CN¥19.91
CN¥30.36
+52.4%
5.9%CN¥32.14CN¥28.57n/a2
Jan ’25CN¥24.54
CN¥33.21
+35.4%
3.2%CN¥34.29CN¥32.14CN¥16.582
Dec ’24CN¥24.43
CN¥33.21
+36.0%
3.2%CN¥34.29CN¥32.14CN¥19.132
Nov ’24CN¥23.92
CN¥33.21
+38.8%
3.2%CN¥34.29CN¥32.14CN¥15.942
Oct ’24CN¥25.14
CN¥33.21
+32.1%
3.2%CN¥34.29CN¥32.14CN¥15.482
Sep ’24CN¥26.89
CN¥37.55
+39.6%
16.5%CN¥46.24CN¥32.14CN¥13.183
Aug ’24CN¥26.95
CN¥44.22
+64.1%
19.4%CN¥53.57CN¥32.86CN¥13.123
Jul ’24CN¥29.61
CN¥44.22
+49.3%
19.4%CN¥53.57CN¥32.86CN¥14.893
Jun ’24CN¥22.73
CN¥44.22
+94.6%
19.4%CN¥53.57CN¥32.86CN¥17.533
May ’24CN¥24.49
CN¥45.65
+86.4%
14.7%CN¥53.57CN¥37.14CN¥19.913
Apr ’24CN¥29.16
CN¥45.65
+56.6%
14.7%CN¥53.57CN¥37.14CN¥23.173
Mar ’24CN¥32.24
CN¥49.90
+54.8%
7.3%CN¥53.57CN¥46.24CN¥21.412
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
CN¥36.07
Fair Value
54.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/08 06:33
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/08 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Anhui Xinbo Aluminum Co., Ltd. is covered by 5 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Xianfan ChenChina International Capital Corporation Limited
Chao LiCitic Securities Co., Ltd.
Yi ShiHaitong International Research Limited