Satellite Chemical Co.,Ltd.

SZSE:002648 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥61.7b

Satellite ChemicalLtd Valuation

Is 2648 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 2648 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 002648 (CN¥18.34) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥41.15)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 002648 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 2648?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

2648 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue2.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA9.8x
PEG Ratio0.6x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 2648's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 2648 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average47.3x
000301 Jiangsu Eastern ShenghongLtd
91.2x77.5%CN¥65.4b
002709 Guangzhou Tinci Materials Technology
21.1x13.6%CN¥39.9b
002812 Yunnan Energy New Material
18.8x24.2%CN¥38.3b
600160 Zhejiang Juhua
58x39.8%CN¥63.8b
002648 Satellite ChemicalLtd
12.1x19.5%CN¥61.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 002648 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x) compared to the peer average (47.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 2648's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Chemicals Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a31.5%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a31.5%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 002648 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x) compared to the CN Chemicals industry average (29.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 2648's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

2648 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.1x
Fair PE Ratio22.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 002648 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 2648 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥18.34
CN¥21.45
+17.0%
8.0%CN¥25.06CN¥19.32n/a7
Apr ’25CN¥18.52
CN¥21.18
+14.4%
9.1%CN¥25.06CN¥18.90n/a7
Mar ’25CN¥16.61
CN¥19.58
+17.9%
12.9%CN¥23.28CN¥15.04n/a7
Feb ’25CN¥13.77
CN¥19.58
+42.2%
12.9%CN¥23.28CN¥15.04n/a7
Jan ’25CN¥14.75
CN¥19.37
+31.3%
7.2%CN¥21.50CN¥17.20n/a7
Dec ’24CN¥15.67
CN¥19.37
+23.6%
7.7%CN¥21.50CN¥17.20n/a6
Nov ’24CN¥16.32
CN¥18.97
+16.2%
8.9%CN¥21.50CN¥17.10n/a5
Oct ’24CN¥15.33
CN¥18.78
+22.5%
7.1%CN¥21.00CN¥17.10n/a5
Sep ’24CN¥15.73
CN¥18.49
+17.5%
7.5%CN¥21.00CN¥17.00n/a6
Aug ’24CN¥16.25
CN¥18.49
+13.8%
7.5%CN¥21.00CN¥17.00n/a6
Jul ’24CN¥14.96
CN¥18.08
+20.8%
7.3%CN¥20.00CN¥16.51n/a6
Jun ’24CN¥13.05
CN¥17.88
+37.0%
7.7%CN¥20.00CN¥16.51n/a5
May ’24CN¥14.19
CN¥18.23
+28.5%
8.2%CN¥20.00CN¥16.51n/a4
Apr ’24CN¥16.00
CN¥19.87
+24.2%
20.4%CN¥26.32CN¥14.65CN¥18.525
Mar ’24CN¥17.62
CN¥19.87
+12.8%
20.4%CN¥26.32CN¥14.65CN¥16.615
Feb ’24CN¥18.18
CN¥19.87
+9.3%
20.4%CN¥26.32CN¥14.65CN¥13.775
Jan ’24CN¥15.50
CN¥19.87
+28.2%
20.4%CN¥26.32CN¥14.65CN¥14.755
Dec ’23CN¥15.15
CN¥19.87
+31.2%
20.4%CN¥26.32CN¥14.65CN¥15.675
Nov ’23CN¥13.11
CN¥22.02
+67.9%
26.0%CN¥30.12CN¥14.65CN¥16.325
Oct ’23CN¥15.19
CN¥24.69
+62.5%
13.5%CN¥30.12CN¥20.59CN¥15.335
Sep ’23CN¥15.64
CN¥27.56
+76.2%
7.3%CN¥30.12CN¥24.82CN¥15.734
Aug ’23CN¥15.82
CN¥27.55
+74.1%
7.3%CN¥30.12CN¥24.82CN¥16.254
Jul ’23CN¥18.57
CN¥27.55
+48.3%
7.3%CN¥30.12CN¥24.82CN¥14.964
Jun ’23CN¥19.89
CN¥27.54
+38.5%
7.3%CN¥30.12CN¥24.82CN¥13.054
May ’23CN¥18.40
CN¥27.54
+49.7%
7.3%CN¥30.12CN¥24.82CN¥14.194
Apr ’23CN¥20.62
CN¥28.97
+40.5%
2.1%CN¥30.12CN¥28.36CN¥16.005

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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