Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) Valuation
Is 002541 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
5/6Valuation Score 5/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of 002541 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: 002541 (CN¥16.11) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥29.18)
Significantly Below Fair Value: 002541 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 002541?
Key metric: As 002541 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.
| What is 002541's PE Ratio? | |
|---|---|
| PE Ratio | 11.7x |
| Earnings | CN¥945.52m |
| Market Cap | CN¥11.07b |
| Key Statistics | |
|---|---|
| Enterprise Value/Revenue | 0.8x |
| Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 13.7x |
| PEG Ratio | 0.7x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does 002541's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
| Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer Average | 23.7x | ||
600507 Fangda Special Steel Technology | 33.4x | 32.0% | CN¥9.7b |
600399 Fushun Special SteelLTD | 33.8x | 32.4% | CN¥13.4b |
600997 Kailuan Energy ChemicalLtd | 15.3x | 14.1% | CN¥11.4b |
000923 HBIS Resources | 12.1x | 17.2% | CN¥10.0b |
002541 Anhui Honglu Steel Construction(Group) | 11.7x | 16.7% | CN¥11.1b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 002541 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the peer average (23.7x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does 002541's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Metals and Mining Industry?
| 1 Company | Price / Earnings | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|---|---|---|
600117 Xining Special Steel.Co.Ltd | 3.5x | n/a | US$1.19b |
| 1 Company | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
|---|
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 002541 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the CN Metals and Mining industry average (28.1x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is 002541's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
| Fair Ratio | |
|---|---|
| Current PE Ratio | 11.7x |
| Fair PE Ratio | 20.4x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 002541 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.4x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
| Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current | CN¥16.11 | CN¥20.45 +26.9% | 15.5% | CN¥26.52 | CN¥17.00 | n/a | 7 |
| Nov ’25 | CN¥14.18 | CN¥20.45 +44.2% | 15.5% | CN¥26.52 | CN¥17.00 | n/a | 7 |
| Oct ’25 | CN¥15.18 | CN¥19.87 +30.9% | 20.7% | CN¥26.52 | CN¥14.26 | n/a | 7 |
| Sep ’25 | CN¥11.95 | CN¥19.87 +66.3% | 20.7% | CN¥26.52 | CN¥14.26 | n/a | 7 |
| Aug ’25 | CN¥13.67 | CN¥23.44 +71.4% | 7.3% | CN¥26.52 | CN¥20.00 | n/a | 8 |
| Jul ’25 | CN¥16.85 | CN¥23.44 +39.1% | 7.3% | CN¥26.52 | CN¥20.00 | n/a | 8 |
| Jun ’25 | CN¥19.13 | CN¥25.55 +33.6% | 24.2% | CN¥42.46 | CN¥20.00 | n/a | 9 |
| May ’25 | CN¥19.05 | CN¥25.43 +33.5% | 25.8% | CN¥42.46 | CN¥20.00 | n/a | 8 |
| Apr ’25 | CN¥16.45 | CN¥26.38 +60.3% | 28.4% | CN¥42.46 | CN¥19.32 | n/a | 8 |
| Mar ’25 | CN¥17.34 | CN¥33.01 +90.4% | 16.4% | CN¥42.46 | CN¥27.17 | n/a | 8 |
| Feb ’25 | CN¥16.22 | CN¥33.57 +107.0% | 15.0% | CN¥42.46 | CN¥27.17 | n/a | 8 |
| Jan ’25 | CN¥21.73 | CN¥36.22 +66.7% | 8.9% | CN¥42.46 | CN¥32.00 | n/a | 7 |
| Dec ’24 | CN¥23.30 | CN¥36.93 +58.5% | 7.4% | CN¥42.46 | CN¥33.50 | n/a | 7 |
| Nov ’24 | CN¥25.01 | CN¥36.94 +47.7% | 6.9% | CN¥42.46 | CN¥33.50 | CN¥14.18 | 8 |
| Oct ’24 | CN¥28.33 | CN¥39.65 +40.0% | 8.7% | CN¥46.00 | CN¥35.82 | CN¥15.18 | 8 |
| Sep ’24 | CN¥27.68 | CN¥40.15 +45.1% | 9.4% | CN¥46.00 | CN¥35.82 | CN¥11.95 | 8 |
| Aug ’24 | CN¥32.50 | CN¥42.60 +31.1% | 7.0% | CN¥46.64 | CN¥37.80 | CN¥13.67 | 8 |
| Jul ’24 | CN¥28.81 | CN¥42.60 +47.9% | 7.0% | CN¥46.64 | CN¥37.80 | CN¥16.85 | 8 |
| Jun ’24 | CN¥27.58 | CN¥42.60 +54.5% | 7.0% | CN¥46.64 | CN¥37.80 | CN¥19.13 | 8 |
| May ’24 | CN¥32.21 | CN¥42.60 +32.3% | 7.0% | CN¥46.64 | CN¥37.80 | CN¥19.05 | 8 |
| Apr ’24 | CN¥33.11 | CN¥42.21 +27.5% | 8.4% | CN¥47.08 | CN¥36.70 | CN¥16.45 | 8 |
| Mar ’24 | CN¥36.31 | CN¥42.97 +18.3% | 10.0% | CN¥49.31 | CN¥36.70 | CN¥17.34 | 8 |
| Feb ’24 | CN¥33.30 | CN¥42.47 +27.5% | 10.3% | CN¥49.31 | CN¥36.70 | CN¥16.22 | 8 |
| Jan ’24 | CN¥29.29 | CN¥39.42 +34.6% | 4.6% | CN¥41.99 | CN¥36.70 | CN¥21.73 | 7 |
| Dec ’23 | CN¥33.78 | CN¥39.42 +16.7% | 4.6% | CN¥41.99 | CN¥36.70 | CN¥23.30 | 7 |
| Nov ’23 | CN¥33.58 | CN¥39.42 +17.4% | 4.6% | CN¥41.99 | CN¥36.70 | CN¥25.01 | 7 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.
Discover undervalued companies
Western MiningLtd
CN¥41.8b
Engages in the mining, smelting, and trading of metals in Mainland China and internationally.
601168
CN¥17.54
7D
0.7%
1Y
36.5%
JCHX Mining ManagementLtd
CN¥26.2b
Engages in mine engineering, development, and construction activities in the People’s Republic of China and internationally.
603979
CN¥41.97
7D
4.7%
1Y
18.2%
Henan Shenhuo Coal Industry and Electricity Power
CN¥37.7b
Henan Shenhuo Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co.
933
CN¥16.78
7D
-7.0%
1Y
5.8%