Sichuan Yahua Industrial Group Co., Ltd.

SZSE:002497 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥13.1b

Sichuan Yahua Industrial Group Valuation

Is 002497 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 002497 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 002497 (CN¥11.58) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥21.29)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 002497 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 002497?

Key metric: As 002497 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 002497. This is calculated by dividing 002497's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 002497's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio1.6x
SalesCN¥8.35b
Market CapCN¥13.12b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 002497's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 002497 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.1x
301219 Ganzhou Tengyuan Cobalt New Material
2.2x20.1%CN¥14.1b
688549 GrandiT
13.6xn/aCN¥13.5b
002226 Anhui Jiangnan Chemical IndustryLtd
1.6x18.3%CN¥14.4b
603033 Sanwei Holding GroupLtd
3.1x16.3%CN¥14.7b
002497 Sichuan Yahua Industrial Group
1.6x13.6%CN¥13.1b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 002497 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.6x) compared to the peer average (5.1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 002497's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Chemicals Industry?

23 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
600346 Hengli PetrochemicalLtd
0.4x4.3%US$13.74b
002493 Rongsheng Petrochemical
0.3x9.3%US$12.59b
000301 Jiangsu Eastern ShenghongLtd
0.4x6.8%US$8.22b
601233 Tongkun Group
0.3x4.6%US$3.73b
002497 1.6xIndustry Avg. 2.4xNo. of Companies73PS0246810+
23 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 002497 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.6x) compared to the CN Chemicals industry average (2.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 002497's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

002497 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio1.6x
Fair PS Ratio0.8x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 002497 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (1.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.8x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 002497 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥11.58
CN¥9.45
-18.4%
5.8%CN¥10.00CN¥8.90n/a2
Nov ’25CN¥10.48
CN¥9.45
-9.8%
5.8%CN¥10.00CN¥8.90n/a2
Oct ’25CN¥10.87
CN¥9.45
-13.1%
5.8%CN¥10.00CN¥8.90n/a2
Sep ’25CN¥8.66
CN¥9.45
+9.1%
5.8%CN¥10.00CN¥8.90n/a2
Aug ’25CN¥8.86
CN¥9.75
+10.0%
2.6%CN¥10.00CN¥9.50n/a2
Jul ’25CN¥8.99
CN¥9.75
+8.5%
2.6%CN¥10.00CN¥9.50n/a2
Jun ’25CN¥10.49
CN¥9.85
-6.1%
1.5%CN¥10.00CN¥9.70n/a2
May ’25CN¥10.51
CN¥9.85
-6.3%
1.5%CN¥10.00CN¥9.70n/a2
Apr ’25CN¥10.90
CN¥12.30
+12.8%
18.7%CN¥14.60CN¥10.00n/a2
Mar ’25CN¥11.36
CN¥12.30
+8.3%
18.7%CN¥14.60CN¥10.00n/a2
Feb ’25CN¥9.79
CN¥12.30
+25.6%
18.7%CN¥14.60CN¥10.00n/a2
Jan ’25CN¥13.09
CN¥12.30
-6.0%
18.7%CN¥14.60CN¥10.00n/a2
Dec ’24CN¥12.49
CN¥12.30
-1.5%
18.7%CN¥14.60CN¥10.00n/a2
Nov ’24CN¥13.90
CN¥14.00
+0.7%
28.6%CN¥18.00CN¥10.00CN¥10.482
Oct ’24CN¥14.98
CN¥22.00
+46.9%
18.2%CN¥26.00CN¥18.00CN¥10.872
Sep ’24CN¥15.74
CN¥22.00
+39.8%
18.2%CN¥26.00CN¥18.00CN¥8.662
Aug ’24CN¥17.95
CN¥23.50
+30.9%
10.6%CN¥26.00CN¥21.00CN¥8.862
Jul ’24CN¥17.78
CN¥23.50
+32.2%
10.6%CN¥26.00CN¥21.00CN¥8.992
Jun ’24CN¥18.02
CN¥23.50
+30.4%
10.6%CN¥26.00CN¥21.00CN¥10.492
May ’24CN¥18.77
CN¥26.50
+41.2%
20.8%CN¥32.00CN¥21.00CN¥10.512
Apr ’24CN¥21.17
CN¥30.50
+44.1%
4.9%CN¥32.00CN¥29.00CN¥10.902
Mar ’24CN¥24.47
CN¥30.50
+24.6%
4.9%CN¥32.00CN¥29.00CN¥11.362
Feb ’24CN¥26.14
CN¥30.50
+16.7%
4.9%CN¥32.00CN¥29.00CN¥9.792
Jan ’24CN¥23.25
CN¥32.50
+39.8%
10.8%CN¥36.00CN¥29.00CN¥13.092
Dec ’23CN¥27.19
CN¥32.50
+19.5%
10.8%CN¥36.00CN¥29.00CN¥12.492

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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