Gansu Shangfeng CementLtd

SZSE:000672 Stock Report

Mkt Cap: CN¥10.4b

We’ve recently updated our valuation analysis.

Gansu Shangfeng CementLtd Valuation

Is 672 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Analyst Forecast

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 672?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

672 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.3x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA4x
PEG Ratio0.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 672's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 672 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyPEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14.5x
002302 China West Construction Group
10.5xn/aCN¥9.1b
600720 Gansu Qilianshan Cement Group
9.8x14.9%CN¥8.2b
600586 Shandong Jinjing Science and Technology Stock
23.8x58.4%CN¥11.3b
002233 Guangdong Tapai Group
13.6x21.5%CN¥8.6b
000672 Gansu Shangfeng CementLtd
7.3x17.5%CN¥10.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 000672 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the peer average (14.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 672's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Basic Materials Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a26.4%
n/an/an/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 000672 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the CN Basic Materials industry average (17.4x)


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 672's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

672 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.3x
Fair PE Ratio15.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 000672 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x).


Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 672 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 000672 (CN¥10.93) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥16.85)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 000672 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 672 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥10.93
CN¥18.70
+71.1%
9.1%CN¥20.40CN¥17.00n/a2
Nov ’23CN¥10.30
CN¥18.70
+81.6%
9.1%CN¥20.40CN¥17.00n/a2
Oct ’23CN¥12.38
CN¥18.70
+51.1%
9.1%CN¥20.40CN¥17.00n/a2
Sep ’23CN¥14.55
CN¥18.70
+28.5%
9.1%CN¥20.40CN¥17.00n/a2
Aug ’23CN¥14.60
CN¥20.18
+38.2%
3.1%CN¥20.80CN¥19.33n/a3
Jul ’23CN¥15.68
CN¥20.18
+28.7%
3.1%CN¥20.80CN¥19.33n/a3
Jun ’23CN¥15.42
CN¥20.18
+30.9%
3.1%CN¥20.80CN¥19.33n/a3
May ’23CN¥17.36
CN¥20.18
+16.2%
3.1%CN¥20.80CN¥19.33n/a3
Apr ’23CN¥18.14
CN¥19.96
+10.0%
7.0%CN¥21.20CN¥18.03n/a3
Mar ’23CN¥18.30
CN¥19.96
+9.1%
7.0%CN¥21.20CN¥18.03n/a3
Feb ’23CN¥16.48
CN¥19.96
+21.1%
7.0%CN¥21.20CN¥18.03n/a3
Jan ’23CN¥16.73
CN¥19.96
+19.4%
7.0%CN¥21.20CN¥18.03n/a3
Dec ’22CN¥14.78
CN¥19.96
+35.0%
7.0%CN¥21.20CN¥18.03n/a3
Nov ’22CN¥14.79
CN¥19.96
+35.0%
7.0%CN¥21.20CN¥18.03CN¥10.303
Oct ’22CN¥15.78
CN¥20.69
+31.1%
3.3%CN¥21.38CN¥20.00CN¥12.382
Sep ’22CN¥16.77
CN¥20.69
+23.4%
3.3%CN¥21.38CN¥20.00CN¥14.552
Mar ’22CN¥18.18
CN¥26.85
+47.7%
5.3%CN¥28.28CN¥25.42CN¥18.302
Feb ’22CN¥14.47
CN¥26.85
+85.6%
5.3%CN¥28.28CN¥25.42CN¥16.482
Jan ’22CN¥16.26
CN¥27.86
+71.3%
6.6%CN¥29.88CN¥25.42CN¥16.733
Dec ’21CN¥19.23
CN¥27.86
+44.8%
6.6%CN¥29.88CN¥25.42CN¥14.783
Nov ’21CN¥18.28
CN¥27.86
+52.4%
6.6%CN¥29.88CN¥25.42CN¥14.793

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


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