Stock Analysis

Pangang Group Vanadium & Titanium Resources Co., Ltd. Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

SZSE:000629
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The analysts might have been a bit too bullish on Pangang Group Vanadium & Titanium Resources Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000629), given that the company fell short of expectations when it released its full-year results last week. Pangang Group Vanadium & Titanium Resources missed earnings this time around, with CN¥13b revenue coming in 5.1% below what the analysts had modelled. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.031 also fell short of expectations by 16%. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

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SZSE:000629 Earnings and Revenue Growth April 1st 2025

Following the latest results, Pangang Group Vanadium & Titanium Resources' three analysts are now forecasting revenues of CN¥13.7b in 2025. This would be an okay 3.9% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to bounce 79% to CN¥0.055. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥15.2b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.07 in 2025. The analysts seem less optimistic after the recent results, reducing their revenue forecasts and making a large cut to earnings per share numbers.

Check out our latest analysis for Pangang Group Vanadium & Titanium Resources

The average price target climbed 12% to CN¥3.16despite the reduced earnings forecasts, suggesting that this earnings impact could be a positive for the stock, once it passes. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. There are some variant perceptions on Pangang Group Vanadium & Titanium Resources, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at CN¥3.20 and the most bearish at CN¥3.12 per share. This is a very narrow spread of estimates, implying either that Pangang Group Vanadium & Titanium Resources is an easy company to value, or - more likely - the analysts are relying heavily on some key assumptions.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. We can infer from the latest estimates that forecasts expect a continuation of Pangang Group Vanadium & Titanium Resources'historical trends, as the 3.9% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 is roughly in line with the 4.7% annual growth over the past five years. Compare this with the broader industry (in aggregate), which analyst estimates suggest will see revenues grow 10% annually. So it's pretty clear that Pangang Group Vanadium & Titanium Resources is expected to grow slower than similar companies in the same industry.

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The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Pangang Group Vanadium & Titanium Resources. Unfortunately, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates underperformance compared to the wider industry. Even so, earnings per share are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Pangang Group Vanadium & Titanium Resources going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

However, before you get too enthused, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Pangang Group Vanadium & Titanium Resources that you should be aware of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.