Stock Analysis

Getting In Cheap On Jinyuan EP Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000546) Is Unlikely

SZSE:000546
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It's not a stretch to say that Jinyuan EP Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:000546) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Basic Materials industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 1x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Jinyuan EP

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000546 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 18th 2024

How Jinyuan EP Has Been Performing

The revenue growth achieved at Jinyuan EP over the last year would be more than acceptable for most companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to only keep up with the broader industry, which has keeping the P/S in line with expectations. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Jinyuan EP's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Jinyuan EP's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Jinyuan EP's to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 23% last year. Still, revenue has fallen 55% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 8.0% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Jinyuan EP's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Jinyuan EP's P/S?

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our look at Jinyuan EP revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Having said that, be aware Jinyuan EP is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Jinyuan EP's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.