Stock Analysis

Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings (SZSE:000488 shareholders incur further losses as stock declines 4.2% this week, taking three-year losses to 58%

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SZSE:000488

If you love investing in stocks you're bound to buy some losers. But the last three years have been particularly tough on longer term Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Limited (SZSE:000488) shareholders. Unfortunately, they have held through a 58% decline in the share price in that time. And more recent buyers are having a tough time too, with a drop of 20% in the last year. More recently, the share price has dropped a further 19% in a month.

After losing 4.2% this past week, it's worth investigating the company's fundamentals to see what we can infer from past performance.

See our latest analysis for Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings

Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. That's because fast revenue growth can be easily extrapolated to forecast profits, often of considerable size.

Over the last three years, Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings' revenue dropped 9.0% per year. That is not a good result. With revenue in decline, and profit but a dream, we can understand why the share price has been declining at 17% per year. Of course, it's the future that will determine whether today's price is a good one. We'd be pretty wary of this one until it makes a profit, because we don't specialize in finding turnaround situations.

You can see how earnings and revenue have changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

SZSE:000488 Earnings and Revenue Growth November 28th 2024

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

A Different Perspective

Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings shareholders are down 20% for the year, but the market itself is up 6.8%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 5% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Take risks, for example - Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.