Stock Analysis

Jiangxi Guotai Group Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603977) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking

Published
SHSE:603977

Jiangxi Guotai Group Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603977) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 25.9x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 38x and even P/E's above 74x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Jiangxi Guotai GroupLtd certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company's earnings are going to fall away like everyone else's soon. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for Jiangxi Guotai GroupLtd

SHSE:603977 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 3rd 2025
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Jiangxi Guotai GroupLtd.

How Is Jiangxi Guotai GroupLtd's Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Jiangxi Guotai GroupLtd would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 78% gain to the company's bottom line. EPS has also lifted 29% in aggregate from three years ago, mostly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 33% as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 37%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why Jiangxi Guotai GroupLtd is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Jiangxi Guotai GroupLtd's P/E?

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Jiangxi Guotai GroupLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Jiangxi Guotai GroupLtd that you need to be mindful of.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

New: Manage All Your Stock Portfolios in One Place

We've created the ultimate portfolio companion for stock investors, and it's free.

• Connect an unlimited number of Portfolios and see your total in one currency
• Be alerted to new Warning Signs or Risks via email or mobile
• Track the Fair Value of your stocks

Try a Demo Portfolio for Free

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.