Investors Don't See Light At End Of Zhejiang Xinhua Chemical Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:603867) Tunnel
When close to half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 37x, you may consider Zhejiang Xinhua Chemical Co.,Ltd (SHSE:603867) as an attractive investment with its 21x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
For example, consider that Zhejiang Xinhua ChemicalLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader market in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
View our latest analysis for Zhejiang Xinhua ChemicalLtd
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Zhejiang Xinhua ChemicalLtd would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 19%. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 42% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 37% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this information, we can see why Zhejiang Xinhua ChemicalLtd is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Final Word
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Zhejiang Xinhua ChemicalLtd revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Zhejiang Xinhua ChemicalLtd that we have uncovered.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Zhejiang Xinhua ChemicalLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603867
Zhejiang Xinhua ChemicalLtd
Manufactures and trades in various chemicals and chemical raw material in China and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet and slightly overvalued.
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