Stock Analysis

It Might Not Be A Great Idea To Buy Xinfengming Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603225) For Its Next Dividend

SHSE:603225
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Regular readers will know that we love our dividends at Simply Wall St, which is why it's exciting to see Xinfengming Group Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603225) is about to trade ex-dividend in the next two days. Typically, the ex-dividend date is one business day before the record date which is the date on which a company determines the shareholders eligible to receive a dividend. The ex-dividend date is an important date to be aware of as any purchase of the stock made on or after this date might mean a late settlement that doesn't show on the record date. In other words, investors can purchase Xinfengming Group's shares before the 30th of May in order to be eligible for the dividend, which will be paid on the 30th of May.

The company's next dividend payment will be CN¥0.255 per share. Last year, in total, the company distributed CN¥0.25 to shareholders. Based on the last year's worth of payments, Xinfengming Group has a trailing yield of 1.7% on the current stock price of CN¥14.88. Dividends are a major contributor to investment returns for long term holders, but only if the dividend continues to be paid. That's why we should always check whether the dividend payments appear sustainable, and if the company is growing.

See our latest analysis for Xinfengming Group

If a company pays out more in dividends than it earned, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Xinfengming Group paid out a comfortable 33% of its profit last year. A useful secondary check can be to evaluate whether Xinfengming Group generated enough free cash flow to afford its dividend. Xinfengming Group paid out more free cash flow than it generated - 193%, to be precise - last year, which we think is concerningly high. We're curious about why the company paid out more cash than it generated last year, since this can be one of the early signs that a dividend may be unsustainable.

Xinfengming Group paid out less in dividends than it reported in profits, but unfortunately it didn't generate enough cash to cover the dividend. Cash is king, as they say, and were Xinfengming Group to repeatedly pay dividends that aren't well covered by cashflow, we would consider this a warning sign.

Click here to see the company's payout ratio, plus analyst estimates of its future dividends.

historic-dividend
SHSE:603225 Historic Dividend May 27th 2024

Have Earnings And Dividends Been Growing?

Companies with falling earnings are riskier for dividend shareholders. If business enters a downturn and the dividend is cut, the company could see its value fall precipitously. Readers will understand then, why we're concerned to see Xinfengming Group's earnings per share have dropped 8.4% a year over the past five years. Ultimately, when earnings per share decline, the size of the pie from which dividends can be paid, shrinks.

Another key way to measure a company's dividend prospects is by measuring its historical rate of dividend growth. Xinfengming Group has delivered 12% dividend growth per year on average over the past six years.

To Sum It Up

Is Xinfengming Group worth buying for its dividend? Xinfengming Group's earnings per share have fallen noticeably and, although it paid out less than half its profit as dividends last year, it paid out a disconcertingly high percentage of its cashflow, which is not a great combination. It's not the most attractive proposition from a dividend perspective, and we'd probably give this one a miss for now.

Having said that, if you're looking at this stock without much concern for the dividend, you should still be familiar of the risks involved with Xinfengming Group. For example, Xinfengming Group has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.