Stock Analysis

Here's Why Hainan Mining (SHSE:601969) Can Manage Its Debt Responsibly

SHSE:601969
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Hainan Mining Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601969) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Hainan Mining

What Is Hainan Mining's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Hainan Mining had CN¥2.04b of debt, up from CN¥1.75b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have CN¥3.09b in cash offsetting this, leading to net cash of CN¥1.04b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:601969 Debt to Equity History May 22nd 2024

A Look At Hainan Mining's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Hainan Mining had liabilities of CN¥3.68b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.09b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥3.09b and CN¥1.37b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥314.8m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given Hainan Mining has a market capitalization of CN¥15.0b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Hainan Mining boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

Also positive, Hainan Mining grew its EBIT by 26% in the last year, and that should make it easier to pay down debt, going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Hainan Mining's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Hainan Mining has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. In the last three years, Hainan Mining's free cash flow amounted to 39% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Summing Up

While it is always sensible to look at a company's total liabilities, it is very reassuring that Hainan Mining has CN¥1.04b in net cash. And it impressed us with its EBIT growth of 26% over the last year. So is Hainan Mining's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Hainan Mining has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Hainan Mining is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.