Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 601686 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

601686 (CN¥5.54) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (CN¥13.78)

Is 601686 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 601686 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 601686 (CN¥5.54) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥13.78)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 601686 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 601686?

Key metric: As 601686 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 601686. This is calculated by dividing 601686's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 601686's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	33.2x
Earnings	CN¥232.29m
Market Cap	CN¥7.71b

601686 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.04x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	1.9x
PEG Ratio	1.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 601686's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 601686 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	25.5x
000923 HBIS Resources	11.7x	17.2%	CN¥9.6b
600507 Fangda Special Steel Technology	32.2x	32.0%	CN¥9.4b
600997 Kailuan Energy ChemicalLtd	14.8x	14.1%	CN¥11.1b
600740 Shanxi Coking	43.4x	31.3%	CN¥10.7b
601686 Tianjin You Fa Steel Pipe Group Stock	33.2x	28.6%	CN¥7.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 601686 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.2x) compared to the peer average (25.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 601686's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Metals and Mining Industry?

1 Company	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
600117 Xining Special Steel.Co.Ltd	3.4x	n/a	US$1.15b

No more companies available in this PE range

1 Company		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 601686 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.2x) compared to the CN Metals and Mining industry average (27.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 601686's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

601686 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	33.2x
Fair PE Ratio	21x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 601686 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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