Stock Analysis

Here's Why Yechiu Metal Recycling (China) (SHSE:601388) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden

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SHSE:601388

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Yechiu Metal Recycling (China) Ltd. (SHSE:601388) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Yechiu Metal Recycling (China)

What Is Yechiu Metal Recycling (China)'s Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Yechiu Metal Recycling (China) had debt of CN¥1.35b, up from CN¥885.6m in one year. However, it does have CN¥960.9m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥385.1m.

SHSE:601388 Debt to Equity History November 14th 2024

How Healthy Is Yechiu Metal Recycling (China)'s Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Yechiu Metal Recycling (China) had liabilities of CN¥1.31b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥596.4m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥960.9m in cash and CN¥713.2m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥235.4m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given Yechiu Metal Recycling (China) has a market capitalization of CN¥5.86b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

While Yechiu Metal Recycling (China)'s low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.3 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 6.2 times last year does give us pause. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Yechiu Metal Recycling (China) if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 51% cut to EBIT over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Yechiu Metal Recycling (China) can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Yechiu Metal Recycling (China) created free cash flow amounting to 12% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

Yechiu Metal Recycling (China)'s struggle to grow its EBIT had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. For example, its net debt to EBITDA is relatively strong. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Yechiu Metal Recycling (China) is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 1 warning sign with Yechiu Metal Recycling (China) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.