Stock Analysis

Can Mixed Fundamentals Have A Negative Impact on Tibet Huayu Mining Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601020) Current Share Price Momentum?

SHSE:601020
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Most readers would already be aware that Tibet Huayu Mining's (SHSE:601020) stock increased significantly by 63% over the past three months. But the company's key financial indicators appear to be differing across the board and that makes us question whether or not the company's current share price momentum can be maintained. Specifically, we decided to study Tibet Huayu Mining's ROE in this article.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

View our latest analysis for Tibet Huayu Mining

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Tibet Huayu Mining is:

2.3% = CN¥83m ÷ CN¥3.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.02.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Tibet Huayu Mining's Earnings Growth And 2.3% ROE

It is hard to argue that Tibet Huayu Mining's ROE is much good in and of itself. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 7.4%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. As a result, Tibet Huayu Mining's flat earnings over the past five years doesn't come as a surprise given its lower ROE.

As a next step, we compared Tibet Huayu Mining's net income growth with the industry and discovered that the industry saw an average growth of 12% in the same period.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:601020 Past Earnings Growth May 26th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Tibet Huayu Mining is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Tibet Huayu Mining Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

In spite of a normal three-year median payout ratio of 29% (or a retention ratio of 71%), Tibet Huayu Mining hasn't seen much growth in its earnings. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

Additionally, Tibet Huayu Mining has paid dividends over a period of eight years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

Summary

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Tibet Huayu Mining. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Tibet Huayu Mining is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.