Stock Analysis

Revenues Working Against Jilin Yatai (Group) Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600881) Share Price Following 26% Dive

SHSE:600881
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To the annoyance of some shareholders, Jilin Yatai (Group) Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600881) shares are down a considerable 26% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 51% share price decline.

Since its price has dipped substantially, considering around half the companies operating in China's Basic Materials industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.1x, you may consider Jilin Yatai (Group) as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.4x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Jilin Yatai (Group)

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600881 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry June 17th 2024

What Does Jilin Yatai (Group)'s Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Jilin Yatai (Group) over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Jilin Yatai (Group)'s earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

Jilin Yatai (Group)'s P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 27%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 58% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 10% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we understand why Jilin Yatai (Group)'s P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Final Word

The southerly movements of Jilin Yatai (Group)'s shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Jilin Yatai (Group) confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Jilin Yatai (Group) (at least 1 which is concerning), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Jilin Yatai (Group), explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.