Stock Analysis

Xiamen TungstenLtd (SHSE:600549) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

SHSE:600549
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Xiamen Tungsten Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600549) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Xiamen TungstenLtd

How Much Debt Does Xiamen TungstenLtd Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Xiamen TungstenLtd had CN¥13.0b of debt in March 2024, down from CN¥15.4b, one year before. However, it does have CN¥4.81b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥8.17b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600549 Debt to Equity History June 25th 2024

How Healthy Is Xiamen TungstenLtd's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Xiamen TungstenLtd had liabilities of CN¥12.5b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥8.36b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥4.81b as well as receivables valued at CN¥7.93b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥8.10b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Xiamen TungstenLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥24.8b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

We'd say that Xiamen TungstenLtd's moderate net debt to EBITDA ratio ( being 2.0), indicates prudence when it comes to debt. And its strong interest cover of 12.8 times, makes us even more comfortable. Sadly, Xiamen TungstenLtd's EBIT actually dropped 8.1% in the last year. If earnings continue on that decline then managing that debt will be difficult like delivering hot soup on a unicycle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Xiamen TungstenLtd can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Xiamen TungstenLtd barely recorded positive free cash flow, in total. While many companies do operate at break-even, we prefer see substantial free cash flow, especially if a it already has dead.

Our View

Xiamen TungstenLtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and EBIT growth rate definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to cover its interest expense with its EBIT with ease. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Xiamen TungstenLtd is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Xiamen TungstenLtd has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.