Stock Analysis

Does Zhuzhou Times New Material Technology (SHSE:600458) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SHSE:600458
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Zhuzhou Times New Material Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600458) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Zhuzhou Times New Material Technology

What Is Zhuzhou Times New Material Technology's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Zhuzhou Times New Material Technology had CN¥2.36b of debt, up from CN¥1.84b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of CN¥1.60b, its net debt is less, at about CN¥767.4m.

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SHSE:600458 Debt to Equity History May 27th 2024

How Strong Is Zhuzhou Times New Material Technology's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Zhuzhou Times New Material Technology had liabilities of CN¥9.43b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥2.52b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN¥1.60b in cash and CN¥8.46b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥1.89b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Zhuzhou Times New Material Technology has a market capitalization of CN¥9.39b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Zhuzhou Times New Material Technology's net debt is only 0.85 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 12.3 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Even more impressive was the fact that Zhuzhou Times New Material Technology grew its EBIT by 145% over twelve months. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Zhuzhou Times New Material Technology can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Zhuzhou Times New Material Technology saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Zhuzhou Times New Material Technology's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But we must concede we find its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow has the opposite effect. All these things considered, it appears that Zhuzhou Times New Material Technology can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for Zhuzhou Times New Material Technology that you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.