Stock Analysis

Hengli PetrochemicalLtd (SHSE:600346) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt

SHSE:600346
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Hengli Petrochemical Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600346) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Hengli PetrochemicalLtd

What Is Hengli PetrochemicalLtd's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Hengli PetrochemicalLtd had CN¥162.9b of debt, an increase on CN¥146.7b, over one year. However, it also had CN¥28.4b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥134.5b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600346 Debt to Equity History January 13th 2025

How Healthy Is Hengli PetrochemicalLtd's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Hengli PetrochemicalLtd had liabilities of CN¥128.5b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥82.6b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥28.4b as well as receivables valued at CN¥7.12b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥175.6b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CN¥104.5b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Hengli PetrochemicalLtd would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.1, it's fair to say Hengli PetrochemicalLtd does have a significant amount of debt. However, its interest coverage of 3.4 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. However, it should be some comfort for shareholders to recall that Hengli PetrochemicalLtd actually grew its EBIT by a hefty 191%, over the last 12 months. If that earnings trend continues it will make its debt load much more manageable in the future. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Hengli PetrochemicalLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Hengli PetrochemicalLtd burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Hengli PetrochemicalLtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But on the bright side, its EBIT growth rate is a good sign, and makes us more optimistic. Overall, it seems to us that Hengli PetrochemicalLtd's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Hengli PetrochemicalLtd (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hengli PetrochemicalLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.