Stock Analysis

Is Shandong Nanshan Aluminium Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:600219) Recent Stock Performance Tethered To Its Strong Fundamentals?

SHSE:600219
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Most readers would already be aware that Shandong Nanshan AluminiumLtd's (SHSE:600219) stock increased significantly by 17% over the past three months. Given the company's impressive performance, we decided to study its financial indicators more closely as a company's financial health over the long-term usually dictates market outcomes. Specifically, we decided to study Shandong Nanshan AluminiumLtd's ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

Check out our latest analysis for Shandong Nanshan AluminiumLtd

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for return on equity is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Shandong Nanshan AluminiumLtd is:

9.4% = CN¥5.1b ÷ CN¥55b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2024).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.09 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

A Side By Side comparison of Shandong Nanshan AluminiumLtd's Earnings Growth And 9.4% ROE

At first glance, Shandong Nanshan AluminiumLtd's ROE doesn't look very promising. However, the fact that the its ROE is quite higher to the industry average of 7.7% doesn't go unnoticed by us. This probably goes some way in explaining Shandong Nanshan AluminiumLtd's moderate 19% growth over the past five years amongst other factors. That being said, the company does have a slightly low ROE to begin with, just that it is higher than the industry average. Therefore, the growth in earnings could also be the result of other factors. E.g the company has a low payout ratio or could belong to a high growth industry.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Shandong Nanshan AluminiumLtd's growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 10% in the same period, which is great to see.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600219 Past Earnings Growth October 22nd 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Shandong Nanshan AluminiumLtd is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Shandong Nanshan AluminiumLtd Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

In Shandong Nanshan AluminiumLtd's case, its respectable earnings growth can probably be explained by its low three-year median payout ratio of 20% (or a retention ratio of 80%), which suggests that the company is investing most of its profits to grow its business.

Additionally, Shandong Nanshan AluminiumLtd has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 22%. As a result, Shandong Nanshan AluminiumLtd's ROE is not expected to change by much either, which we inferred from the analyst estimate of 8.3% for future ROE.

Summary

Overall, we are quite pleased with Shandong Nanshan AluminiumLtd's performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business at a moderate rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.