Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Xinjiang TianyeLtd (SHSE:600075) Is Using Debt Extensively

SHSE:600075
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Xinjiang Tianye Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600075) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Xinjiang TianyeLtd

What Is Xinjiang TianyeLtd's Debt?

As you can see below, Xinjiang TianyeLtd had CN¥6.80b of debt at June 2024, down from CN¥9.09b a year prior. However, it also had CN¥1.70b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥5.10b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600075 Debt to Equity History September 27th 2024

How Healthy Is Xinjiang TianyeLtd's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Xinjiang TianyeLtd had liabilities of CN¥5.45b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥5.50b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.70b and CN¥521.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥8.73b.

When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's CN¥6.93b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Weak interest cover of 0.33 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.8 hit our confidence in Xinjiang TianyeLtd like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. However, the silver lining was that Xinjiang TianyeLtd achieved a positive EBIT of CN¥96m in the last twelve months, an improvement on the prior year's loss. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Xinjiang TianyeLtd will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, Xinjiang TianyeLtd actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Our View

To be frank both Xinjiang TianyeLtd's net debt to EBITDA and its track record of covering its interest expense with its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. Looking at the balance sheet and taking into account all these factors, we do believe that debt is making Xinjiang TianyeLtd stock a bit risky. That's not necessarily a bad thing, but we'd generally feel more comfortable with less leverage. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Xinjiang TianyeLtd you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.